To: Riskmgmt who wrote (1941 ) 4/11/2001 12:20:56 PM From: Jerry Olson Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5893 HERE'S THE MORNING E-MAIL...PROFITS WERE NICE... Good Morning everyone.. Well that WAS special huh???..My yeterday title was "Feeling Frisky"?, i smelled that rally...The Bio techs were the signal to me..As i looked at the charts the night before and what with all those, "very smart wall street wizards", downgrading the bunch, i said ,,, hmmmm...looks like the semis last Nov/Dec...then as expected POP goes the WEASEL...so we were off to the races...this was a solid rally... Problem is where do we go to???..Well for my money, i doubt we go too far!!!! I looked at all the indexs and we'll certainly run up to heavy R shortly...On this run up i do not think we'll break thru, not with earnings that will be less than expected even on lowered numbers...And i would suspect that each company will warn about this next quarter as being the worst of the last 2-3 years...Nothing has changed business wise to my way of thinking...we have not felt one dimes worth of rate cuts, zipski, zero, nada....That effect won;t happen till Q4 and late there too... I am starting to think that Alan will not cut this month unless something is very off from his current thinking...Another plunge in jobs, or something that will take the FED off their conservative, and predictable moves... IN fact i'm starting to think .25 will be the next cut...Not .50...but that will change as I check certain eco reports on down the road...World wide rate cuts continue to help...we need this Cut in Europe today right now!!!, Let's look at the 4-5 indexs i watch for technical direction... DJIA---Good solid rally above tough R at 10,000...we are in mid air here on the chart...New support at 9900, overhead heavy R at 10,300 the triple bottom breakdown area...I am guessing that we'll break thru 9900 on the way back down, but make another higher low at 9700..My new downside target...It's the logical next higher low...so we'll see...The Fed will make or break this for sure... NAZ/COMPX---Went absolutely nowhere...Very weak index...While the DOW rallied 1000 points, the NAZ moved up 200...with no ooomph...It has R at 1950, must break thru and print 2000, and then it has gigantic heavy R at 2250-2300..so while everyone will start to get euphoric..i'm saying we better play it very safe for the next 1-2 months Thru the FOMC...The very next rate cut, will stop the downtrend for sure...Setting us up for a summer rally...a good one... SPX---It's setting up for a very nice breakout here...I like the look of this chart pattern..Heavy R at 1180, 1190 is the breakout number with 1210/1220 tough R overhead..Then if we break that 1270 is the brick wall... SOX---right at heavy R at 520, i think we'll break that and run up into 620 the BRL line..100 points on the SOX will help the NAZ too, and of course some selected semis...I'll check them over the weekend... BTK---Beautiful breakout yesterday, broke a double top at 490 but it will hit the wall at 520, where we can short those nice bio techs once more...they rarely rally more than 2-3 days anyway... Ok let's look at our Top Traders for today... 1...IBM---RIGHT AT 100, I SAID 102 IS A MAJOR BREAKOUT..AT MAJOR R...100 1/4 THE BUY TRIGGER..97 3/4 THE SHORT SALE(SS).. 2...CHKP---EXPLODED OFF A SPREAD TRIPLE TOP AT 51...IT ALSO BROKE TOUGH R AT 59 TOO...59 1/4 THE BUY TRIGGER...56 1/2 THE SS.. 3...VRTS---POPPED A SPREAD TRIPLE TOP AT 50 AND RAN TO 58 FAST...R AT 59...58 1/2 THE BUY TRIG..55 3/4 THE SS.. 4...QCOM---POSITIVE NEWS THIS AM OUT OF CHINA I WILL BE LONG THIS STOCK EARLY PRE MARKET...THE GAP WILL TAKE OUT MY BUY TRIGGER AT 49 3/4... 5...CMVT---FABULOUS LONG SIDE TRIGGER YESTERDAY, A NICE DOUBLE TOP BUY AT 54, AND IT PROMPTLY HIT 62!!!!!..WHEW!!!..62 1/2 THE BUY TRIGGER HEAVY R AT 69...60 IS THE SS... 6..NVDA---POWERFUL REVERSAL TODAY OFF THAT 59 AREA, AND JUST OVERRAN THAT 66 TOUGH R...66 3/4 THE BUY TRIG...TRAGET 71....64 1/4 THE SS.. 7...PDLI---BIO TECHS AS CALLED POWERED UP AND LEAD THE RALLY...48 3/4 THE BUY TRIGGER...46 1/4 THE SS.. 8...BEAS---RIGHT AT HEAVY R AT 36...36 1/2 THE BUY TRIGGER..34 1/4 THE SS..WITH 39 MAJOR HEAY R OVERHEAD..WATCH IT THERE... 9...SEBL---EXPLODED NICELY AS IT TAKES OUT ALL MINOR R ON THE WAY UP...37 1/4 THE BUY TRIGGER...34 1/.4 THE SS.. 10...HGSI---POPPED NICELY TRADING RIGHT TO R AT 50ISH...HAS THE BRL LINE OVERHEAD AT 54...50 1/4 THE BUY TRIGGER...47 3/4 THE SS... OK AS FOR THE ROOM TODAY.. THE PASS WORD IS netrader..the admin number is 2156..but the group owner is marketeye..not me..make sure Shoe Adult Groups is checked if you use the admin... no more spam will occurr for now.. see you in the room.. best always jerry Jerry Olson Master Class Trader...buyitbuyitsellitsellit.com