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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (123498)	4/11/2001 6:57:08 PM
From: Victor Lazlo	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 164684

<<they are comparable where it counts. both were basically the result of a too loose monetary policy during a period of disinflation. if you look at Japanese economic data at the end of '89 when their stock market bubble peaked, they were almost identical to US economic data when the stock market peaked in '00. >> Heinz when our market had peaked in 2000, monetary policy was too TIGHT given the lack of inflation, not too loose. That's the main readon we are where we are now. In Japan, the rates are now barely above 0%. The cuts have had no effect on the economy. In the US, this is not true. The cuts do (and should this time) help quite a bit. 3rd, the last time I checked our pensions, our banks and out govt are not about to go bankrupt as they are in Japan. So again, just too many inportant differeences, including in the way people live and the two very different cultures. I think you are trying very hard to fit every country neatly into your cycle theory thing. Victor