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Strategies & Market Trends : ahhaha's ahs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ahhaha who wrote (1994)4/13/2001 9:28:51 AM
From: frankw1900Respond to of 24758
 
"Soft." Hey? I said we have to keep snooping.
Frankw

afpc.org

PLA modernization gains

During ongoing large-scale military exercises,
China has demonstrated significant new
joint-service war-fighting skills "under
high-tech conditions" that are steadily altering
the balance of power in the Taiwan Strait. The
PLA is applying U.S. military doctrine to
integrate its relentlessly expanding:
strategic missile forces;
high-performance Su-27 and Su-30 jet
fighters purchased from Russia;
blue-water navy ships -- including a
Sovremenny-class destroyer with deadly
SS-N-22 anti-ship missiles;
state-of-the-art secure communications
systems purchased from U.S. and other
Western companies;
development of advanced information and
electronic warfare capabilities.

Taiwan's senior military intelligence analysts
observe that in current large-scale exercises,
PLA is showing surprisingly rapid advances in
joint maneuvers between naval, air force,
marine infantry, paratroop, armored, and
missile units. The PLA is developing a radar
information network that includes some 68
interconnected radars for the Chinese Air
Force.

With new generations of jet fighters, the PLA
Air Force has been notably more aggressive in
flying missions over the Taiwan Strait. On the
other hand, with a 2 to 10 minute response
time to a PLA air or missile strike across the
Strait, Taiwan has repeatedly requested that the
United States help upgrade its early-warning
radar systems and transfer software that
integrates these disparate systems.

Taiwan is particularly impressed with the
PLA's rapid advances in utilizing a national
"plug-and-play" fiber-optic civilian telecommunications network to thoroughly secure its
military communications. At the same time, Taiwan believes its current military information
system is relatively easy for the PLA to monitor. It believes its forces have fallen behind the
PLA in that important command-and-control area, which could lead to their defeat.

The PLA's doctrine of "assymetrical" warfare emphasizes paralyzing the high-tech strength of
the U.S. and our allies through attacks on military, economic and governmental computerized
information systems. Since mid-1999, some of the first incidents of 21st Century internet
warfare have been conducted across the Strait, with the PLA now openly recruiting an "army
of hackers" in civilian newspapers.

The PLA has an aggressive new program to develop exotic high-tech weapons, titled Project
1-26, which was initiated in January 2000. This program involves dual-use space and
information technology, and exotic weapons, such as miniaturized nanno weapons.
Unfortunately, China is using technology from the U.S., Europe and Israel in aspects of this
project. In addition, the PLA is developing deception tactics to protect its missiles and other
forces from detection by U.S. satellites.

Taiwan's military planners believe it is significant that Beijing is psychologically preparing the
civilian population for a potential war. This includes activities such as a highly publicized
mid-August air raid drill in the Shanghai area -- the first such drill in 50 years.

These activities may not mean that Beijing is ready to immediately launch a war to conquer
Taiwan. However, the PLA's rapid advances do show that China is serious in its professed
claims to dominate the Asia-Pacific region during the 21st Century. This is underscored by
Beijing's steadily increasing military budget and relentless pursuit of:
a blue water navy;
state-of the-art anti-satellite, information and electronic warfare capabilities; and,
medium- and long-range ballistic missile forces capable of hitting American bases
anywhere in the Pacific and all regions of the continental United States.

Low tech warfare

The "low tech" aspects of China's "assymetrical warfare" are conducted by the PLA and its
allies in the Burmese SLORC junta and fierce narcotics-trafficking tribes in the Golden
Triangle. Trans-national crime and support for brutal dictatorship in this area furthers Beijing's
strategic aims. Two important Asian democracies, India and Thailand, are surrounded by a sea
of military dictatorships and in direct peril.



To: ahhaha who wrote (1994)4/13/2001 10:54:54 AM
From: frankw1900Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24758
 
See also: brook.edu Pages 37 - 40.

I said the Chinese military was corrupt, and they are, but I think I was too sanguine about their military progress.

Are they building landing craft? If they they are in a big way, then every one is headed for trouble.

Frankw



To: ahhaha who wrote (1994)4/13/2001 1:42:20 PM
From: KailuaBoyRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 24758
 
Probably you're too soft on the situation. I sense there's a lot more going on here than we or the media get to know.

Maybe China has stated through back channels that sale of Aegis to Taiwan will provoke a military response.

KB