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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: edamo who wrote (35796)4/13/2001 7:37:56 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
returning money from new age investors hinges upon acceptance of the big notion
2ND HALF RECOVERY
acceptance would thus be predicated upon confidence in the Federal Reserve
confidence in our economy generally to withstand major index collapse
confidence in our economy to process and work thru huge excess capacity
confidence in our diverse businesses not to subject the masses to massive furlough

I am sticking with my recession theory and secular bear market scenario
because of my belief in shorn sheep, I anticipate that the market will believe 2nd Half Recovery until it is proven to be fallacious
consequently, new age investors will try and try again
dont agree with your "no fear" depiction
I detect widespread feelings of failure, lost confidence in stocks, largely depleted accounts

yeah, probably Naz will surpass 2100
not that aint much of an accomplishment
1800 is equidistant on the index on the downside
Americans WANT to believe, WANT to trust the Federal Reserve
they NEED to believe it has the power to RESCUE us from the Fed's own policy errors
such beliefs underpin our entire banking system, if not the economy, sadly

we will see by July or August
I expect to see plenty of wool on the floor by then
some might be mine, thus dark, curly, and slowly graying
maybe not, maybe I will be 100% bald by then
appreciate your steady thoughtful prose
/ jim