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Strategies & Market Trends : ahhaha's ahs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: frankw1900 who wrote (2014)4/13/2001 10:54:01 PM
From: Keith MonahanRead Replies (3) | Respond to of 24758
 
The US is on record as being protective of democracies

The U.S. is protective of it's interests. A friendly dictator will do just fine - much better than an unruly democracy. See our record in Central America for examples.

If China could snuff out Taiwan's democracy tomorrow, the Chinese leadership, most of it, would happily make it happen in an instant.

Just what do you expect to happen if China takes control? Last time I was in Hong Kong, I didn't notice any walls being built around the city.

It does suggest that political and military intelligence gathering should be intense.

I agree 100%.

And it suggests N Americans get dead serious about studying Mandarin.

It certainly is a better investment than an MBA.



To: frankw1900 who wrote (2014)4/13/2001 11:37:51 PM
From: BilowRespond to of 24758
 
Hi frankw1900; Re: " Yes, some of China has come a long way, but not all of it. The question is germane: who in China was/is going to win some advantage out of the incident? Who is going to lose?

The place isn't very democratic so the question is far more important than who in the US wins an advantage from it. Their army is a serious political and economic player. This in itself is a Bad Thing because militaries have a poor record when it comes to running countries.
"

If China's leaders feel that they are militarily threatened, they will likely do the same thing that every country does in that situation: Give more power to their own military. This is human nature of the most predictable sort.

The only nations that now posses real power in the world are the economically healthy developed countries, and all of them are on our side. I would like to contrast our current situation with the one that obtained in 1914, 1937 and 1979. I include nations that were considered world powers in 1914:

          1914      1937       1979       2001
U.S. Elected Elected Elected Elected
Britain Elected Elected Elected Elected
France Elected Elected Elected Elected
Italy Elected Fascist Elected Elected
China Monarchy A mess Communist Communist
Germany Monarchy Fascist Split Elected
Russia Monarchy Communist Communist Elected
Japan Monarchy Monarchy Elected Elected
Austria Monarchy Elected Elected Elected


If the above chart doesn't indicate why it is that the "Speak Softly" policy is the best one for the United States now, I don't know what it would take.

-- Carl

P.S. Any errors in the above chart are my own. I really don't care if I blew one of the entries, though since I'm an incurable arguer, I will discuss it at length, LOL!!!