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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: t2 who wrote (74933)4/14/2001 5:01:02 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
The fact that VIX and P/C ratios still are quite high suggests that this rally has further to go.



To: t2 who wrote (74933)4/14/2001 5:14:38 PM
From: GREENLAW4-7  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
NV thats why we will go back to sub 1700 faster then you can blink an eye. Far too many optomistic longs believing we are heading back to 2400-3200. The problem is very simple the fundamentals of these companies that were expanding their eranings from 95-2000 are now compressing them. So the NASD 100 has a higher p/e at 1950 then the market can support.

One easy way to show you how low these stocks will go, take any SEMI stock and look at its price in 94-95 that is where they should trade now on a conservative basis.

Do you where the nasd was trading at in 95?? How does 500 sound!! We currently have worse fundamentals then in 1995, so how can we sustain even for another day above 1900??



To: t2 who wrote (74933)4/14/2001 5:43:03 PM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
I think you're right. Until May 15th I plan to stay long.
After that I will either sit out the summer or hang in if a recovery is beginning.

My only fear over the next year or two is that this energy crisis will not only be costly to our economy but one of the biggest political scandals of all time. It may end up being bigger than the Teapot Dome and S+L debacle combined and all engineered in and around The White House at the cost of hundreds of billions to consumers, social programs, government and especially the environment.

Expect ferocious debate over whether hundreds of new power plants are needed or whether it's all a collusive scam creating a phony energy shortage to wrest power and money and give the polluters an excuse to take us for hundreds of billions and dirty up our world. They may know the GOP won't be in charge and soft-money corruption won't be allowed for long so they're going to try and get it all while the getting's good and government enforcement is practically zero. Same kind of thing as the S+L debacle shaping up, my friends. Foxes in the chicken coop. Pigs at the trough. Watch out as the pigs are unleashed to the troughs of your money and mine. Might even hold my nose and buy some oil and power stocks as a hedge.

Listen to every word The White House or Cheney utters on energy and then ask yourselves "who benefits?" This summer they're really going to try and gouge us. And who can stop them? It's already easy to follow the money with the $40,000,000 polluters "contributed" to the GOP in soft money. This isn't just paranoia on my part, it's already happening, and has been in the works ever since Bush was nominated over McCain then picked Cheney as his running mate. Watch your pocketbooks. They want to "give you back" some of your money and pick your pockets with the other hand. Crafty. Done before. Can be done again. Never beofre have two oil-men from Texas been running our administration and a pesticide salesman/soft money maven from Texas controlling much of congress. Too much concentrated power amongst a few with special interests contrary to the nation's. Dangerous situation indeed.