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To: UnBelievable who wrote (95027)4/17/2001 8:34:54 AM
From: AllansAlias  Respond to of 436258
 
How to trade this leg for fun and profit

I have spoken at some length regarding the consensus I am seeing among learned folk, mostly of the technical variety, that the coming down leg will be but a buying opportunity. Even I see this with my TA-eyes, but I am thinking that perhaps, this time, the chart huggers get "pasted" as Luc would say. How do I trade this?

Yesterday's break at 2pm was a clear signal for me that the down-leg had begun (this was my "praying for a bounce" post). So, short bias and positions should be in place now. If they are not, we'll get a bounce here and you can get some. So, part I of the plan is to believe we have further down here and that's where the money will be made.

Part II is to buy some long exposure once we get to a reasonable target for this dip. I think we can look to the 50% retracement as a reasonable target. That would take us to COMPX 1790 or so. That's also a good area for a support bounce. If you believe in the dip, then you might get reamed a little as we overshoot the 50%, but you won't care because you're short anyway. If we do not bounce at all, then hey, you still don't care because you are still short. -g

(Lathered Bull Alert: If we bounce around that 1790 area, the bulls will go mad as they survey the inverse H&S that would be visible then.)



To: UnBelievable who wrote (95027)4/17/2001 9:39:26 AM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 436258
 
Remember me mentioning NDX 1600. Well, they gapped down to it and are buying it good so far. Different support coverges there today.