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To: Jerome who wrote (9731)4/17/2001 5:40:03 PM
From: Math Junkie  Respond to of 10921
 
The problem I have with disregarding P/Es is that at the peak of the bubble, one of the things that got investors in deep trouble was the notion that earnings don't matter. And one of the important observations in that article was that the stocks that have been hurt the least are the ones with better earnings yield.



To: Jerome who wrote (9731)4/17/2001 11:48:14 PM
From: Q.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10921
 
p/e's can be used successfully with cyclical stocks if you average the denominator over multiple years, to include a full cycle.

Hardly anybody bothers to do this, though. Everybody just uses a denominator averaged over exactly 12 months, as if 12 mos. were always the ideal period.

Given that it's too inconvenient to average eps over multiple years, and then calculate a p/e, we're better off just looking at PSR and price/book, especially near the bottom of a cycle.