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Strategies & Market Trends : Steve's Channelling Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rick Storm who wrote (14610)4/17/2001 8:04:56 PM
From: Casaubon  Respond to of 30051
 
Rick,

Biotech stocks always go through a binge and purge cycle. If you can time the cycle well, you can make good coin. I mostly missed the bottom this time but that's OK because I would have played IMNX the day before it collapsed on terrible news from the clinic. Even though my TA was suggesting it was near the bottom, I was just too frightened to pull the trigger. So, I pretty much count myself lucky on this cycle. With biotechs, you are pretty much banking on future success from new drugs introduced to the market. For small companies this can have a dramatic impact on their financial position. Unfortunately, not many have managed to become profitable but there are some great ideas being researched.



To: Rick Storm who wrote (14610)4/17/2001 8:07:55 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Respond to of 30051
 
It has been more than 10 years since the biotech served as the "tulips" of the day, thus they may be a candidate. I lean toward the optical companies, they are creating too many of these and before you know it, they will be fighting on limited capital to survive, but not before the street offers these to the mom and pop on a silver plate laced with cyanide. If the optics are indeed the next mania, you may want to be in their suppliers of "pick and shovels", namely, VECO and NEWP (one of the reasons for my interest in these two.) I am sure some other posters will have additional candidates tulips sectors (sorry, no turnips sectors this time).

Zeev

In edit, I just noted that casaubon pointed you onto a similar direction (biotech), if you are interested, i think that AMGN, QLTI (not really a biotech, but moves with them) and IDPH are ripe for good residual moves here, IMNX might have gone through its catharsis and could rise to just under $20 if the tulipication process is "imminent"