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To: Poet who wrote (10457)4/18/2001 11:53:38 AM
From: hobo  Respond to of 10876
 
Confused is right.. so am I. All the fundamentals of the economy continue to point to a recession, however, IF the market is right in buying all these bad news... it may mean that the worse is over and a turn may be in the cards.

One thought I have had has been that perhaps the economic cycles are now much shorter, therefore companies can react faster than before, given the new found efficiencies.

This is only an attempt to explain the market actions, it does not explain or justify the debt levels, .bomb mania and energy costs. Perhaps the lay-offs could reverse as quickly as they have been coming in... All it boils down to market movements and these are times that seem so indecisive, hence so difficult to read, it is best to trade very cautiously and with smaller sized trades.

It gives me the impression that the Fed will do more cuts, however, that still does NOT cure the above... let's see how this unfolds and as I say, my trades will now be smaller and safer (to the extent that this can be done)



To: Poet who wrote (10457)4/18/2001 2:00:26 PM
From: bonnuss_in_austin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10876
 
Hi, P! Nuts, ain't it? Hey: what about some puts on SEBL?

Looking at May 35s ...

Good to see you again!

bia



To: Poet who wrote (10457)4/18/2001 2:13:57 PM
From: jjetstream  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10876
 
I agree Poet....although I just got toasted on my April DJX puts, I'm still confident the Fed is very, very worried about something macro here, not sure what though........loaded up a few May puts just for kicks......<g>