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To: Ed Forrest who wrote (51874)4/20/2001 12:35:30 AM
From: flint  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 77397
 
I do not understand your question. Or you do not understand me.

My point is as people mature most people are more and more demanding on their investments becoming a true investing vehicle.

Another way to put this is pick out a stock that trade at 10,000 share per week average. Buy 100 shares of this stock the 1st week. Buy 200 shares of this stock the 2nd week. Buy 300 shares of this stock the 4th week. Buy 400 shares of this stock the 5th week. Continue this for 2,000 weeks.

Did you make money? My guess is you made a fortune. Its time to pull your money out, get ready for retirement.

What do you think happend to the stock price? I bet it crashes be for your able to remove 2,000 shares. I do not need to know what you bought or the state of the economy. I know you are the one the created the wealth with the buying pressure. And you are the one that deflated the wealth with the selling pressure.

The worse possible thing that could happend for the replacement investor is that there was a recession. Then some darn fool may think that a recovery may bring the stock back up to its all time high. While your unloading hundreds of thousand of shares some darn fool is buying thousands. That fool will lose everything. As you are today.

77 million people are within 10 years of retirement. The kids between 18 and 35 are grossly out number. More importantly they are not part of a "saving culture", it will be 20 years before these kids even have money. There has to be an outflow of money over the next 20 years.

The only stocks that will be spared are those that retiries feel comfortable with - the dividend payers. Saying the economy will survive is not the point - the stocks will be deflated.

I think the biggest problem most advent investors, is that they think they are the world. You spend your day surrounded by those just like you. You are not the majority - the 55 year old truck driver that places an "X" next to a more conservative option for his 401K is the one that controls the markets. Just as he was in control when he made his last stab at wealth the previous 4 years.

Flint