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To: Ilaine who wrote (96686)	4/19/2001 11:53:51 PM
From: Ilaine	Respond to of 436258

According to Northern Trust - which I think is fairly reliable - I have a good opinion of Paul Kasriel - the Cleveland FRB data on CPI is more trustworthy than more commonly followed measures - click on April 17, 2001, " As Go Real M2 and GM, So Goes Industrial Production?<< northerntrust.com I guess this is the data: clev.frb.org

To: Ilaine who wrote (96686)	4/20/2001 1:21:11 AM
From: Activatecard	Respond to of 436258

Motto says: piraz.com

To: Ilaine who wrote (96686)	4/20/2001 10:33:50 AM
From: Ilaine	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

Yesterday I posted that the widening spread between the 10 year bond and the Fed funds rate was a bad sign, but upon further reading see that I was wrong - according to Paul Kasriel at Northern Trust and some research I saw on the Cleveland Fed website, it's a leading indicator of real long term economic growth, especially if accomanied by a growth in M2, which we are also seeing. Click on April 19, 2001. northerntrust.com