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To: AC Flyer who wrote (67954)4/20/2001 1:33:42 AM
From: marek_wojna  Respond to of 116762
 
<<What do you see that could create this scenario>>

Please, anybody correct me if I'm missing something here.
This what I just wrote on the other thread.

<<Hi, Jay

I found your opinions re: politics, economy most of the times accurate, down to earth and without prejudice.
Would you be so kind and give us your opinion when it comes to US dollar. IMHO an average American is up to his ears in debt. He works longest hours in the world, many times having two jobs to keep up with payments, unlike Japanese or Chinese savings are least of his/her priorities. The Wall St. Casino is fueled now more by emotions than calculus. Thousands of young scientists and workers got burned in the workplace by accepting stock options as salary. Productivity gains are questionable since economy is running at only 80% capacity. Hard to imagine working them harder or longer hours. In millions of cases bankrupcy is matter of time, unless feds will find miracle.

On the other front I strongly believe all other countries are interested in keeping dollar high as possible because it means easy market for their products. Euro with their unbelievable bureaucracy and regulation mania is not a choice. BTW, workers in Germany came today with the new slogan which is making headlines around "Workers of the world - RELAX". We know Japan. Is China able soon to take Japans role in the world? Demographics always played crucial role. Isn't for China one child policy soon to be a burden? My bets are on gold if you remember, since there is a growing trend between nations to keep their own currency lower and lower. Too easy to loose balance.

Regards, Marek >>



To: AC Flyer who wrote (67954)4/20/2001 11:26:46 AM
From: Claude Cormier  Respond to of 116762
 
Five years is a long period...

We think that within that time frame, gold production will drop very significantly while gold demand will continue to grow.

We will have stagflation as we had in the 1970. The excessive expansion of global money stocks of the last 5 years will lower the purchasing power of the USD.

If gold move up by 300-400%, goldmining stocks will move up by 1000% on average. The 50-fold I am talking about will be in juniors currently selling for 2-$10 per ounces of gold in the ground.