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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RetiredNow who wrote (51898)4/20/2001 12:06:48 PM
From: GVTucker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
mindmeld, RE: But I don't enjoy debating with most of the others.

Now that really hurts.



To: RetiredNow who wrote (51898)4/20/2001 1:57:43 PM
From: Eric  Respond to of 77400
 
MM

Finally got a chance to sit down and respond to this inventory problem.

Chambers and especially the marketing dept wanted to satisfy customers who couldn't get some equipment in a timely manner and that has put a lot of pressure on component manufacturers in the last two years. So we had a good horse race leading up to summer. Most (but not all!) component lead times were dropping but for some of Cisco's highest margin products with the greatest demand they were still facing shortages of 24 weeks and sometimes more. So Cisco "pushed" the suppliers by forward ordering trying to get critical components. This has been going on for quite awhile through the tech boom.

I know Chambers wants to be number one or two in their critical growth markets but I have to admit they were gambling and ended up coming short when the demand dropped off. A great gamble but they lost. Their number one goal was to satisfy customer demand. Sometimes when there's a feeding frenzy you have to take chances and I probably would have done the same thing in Chambers place.

Looking at the inventory that they have "secured" I would hazard a educated guess that approximately 3/4th's of that 2 billion will get used within the next year and the remainder will be useless.

I understand this drives the street and their competitors nuts but the funny thing is this gives Cisco a huge advantage going forward. They just got a few poker chips to play with.

Eric