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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (6155)	4/21/2001 9:21:44 PM
From: Rick Storm	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

What Im trying to find out specifically is how the market responds to decreasing earnings and warnings; I have found very little actual data on the behavior of past bear markets most of the examples use the dow as the index of choice; at first I thought that with falling valuations and an accommadative fed, technical signs of fear and erosion of optimism, that we had entered a readjustment of assets and more average pricing would be reflected in the naz even throwing out this years earnings, as the market discounts the future> Now I see the SOX>X flying wildly up and I am no longer even remotely sure of what is happening(bear rally); hence the wish to see the action of past bears; I wonder if the bubble is really gone; or if there are always bubble valuations in part of the stock world; now the sox-- I no longer have an explanation of what is happening even assuming herd behavior unless--- a new bubble is forming-- say there is more news this week that is interpreted as good and we are off; lifting the sox to beyond what all the shorts can live with and having alot of techinical analysts go positive;; etc and off to the sky, as lots of money piles on

To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (6155)	4/21/2001 11:40:24 PM
From: Square_Dealings	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

<events in the 1900-1940 time period> If you can get your hands on a chart of gold prices for 1939-1940 you would be amazed by how similar the chart patterns are so far if you look at Aug39 - Aug 40 gold and then compare it to March 00 - March 01 gold. Really its worth your time. Then if you go check out a chart for the DOW JONES UTILITIES for the same 1940 period, you see a significant pull back for a couple of years before the bull returns. I think the next up will be very huge but first we have to reset some priorities and spread some wealth. The 39-40 gold chart comparison is uncanny though. M.