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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: tigerman77 who wrote (75660)	4/22/2001 9:22:38 AM
From: samim anbarcioglu	Respond to of 99985

Tiger, I wish I got in sebl at 24, as well. I did not do quite as good as you. My entry is at 33, and then I traded a few times. >>where do you honestly think our economy is headed...towards higher wages and inflation.... I do not see what would drive the new expansion in the economy at all. There will be bright spots, but they will be just that. The rest of the economy will meander for years I think. If energy costs rise high enough, above the pain threshold, alternative energy will have a boon (solar, wind, fuel cells, nuclear, etc.) and that could bring a new industrial revolution. However, stock market is only loosely tied to the real economy. So we will see positive slope, and negative slope on the graphs alternately with average duration of may be four months or so (short end of the range: 3months, long end of the range: 10 months), mainly responding to the money supply, interest rates and general sentiment. At this time, I believe the bear market in the tech sector has ended, and we are in a furious rally which will last a few months. Then we probably will dive again to sub 2000 in the nasdaq in October or so. These are my own expectations and do not take them as suggestions to follow in investing. Happy trading. sam a.