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Technology Stocks : Research In Motion TSE RIM Nasdaq RIMM -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: xtahce who wrote (816)5/9/2001 3:11:10 PM
From: Sir Auric Goldfinger  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 989
 
Perhaps this will explain why RIMM is getting whacked today: "RIMM: Inventory to Burn at Aether FBC

CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON CORPORATION
Equity Research
Americas
Canada/Wireless Data
Marc Cabi 1-415-816-7701 marc.cabi@csfb.com
Kevin McCarthy 1-415-816-7701 kevin.a.mccarthy@csfb.com
Randy Abrams 1-415-836-6336 randy.Abrams@csfb.com

BUY
MID CAP
Research in Motion Limited (RIMM, RIM)
Inventory to Burn at Aether

Summary

RIM Channel Partner Aether Systems held its Q1:01 earnings call this morning,
announcing that it had $6 million in total device sales during the quarter
but over half of its $32 million in inventory tied up in RIM devices. The
company also guided to flattish device sales (also includes Motient
transportation units) of about $6.3 million in the June quarter, suggesting
several quarters inventory at that run-rate.

Aether took a ~$2 million charge to write-down the smaller form factor RIM
950 device due to pricing erosion on that product. We anticipate other
channels will require similar discounting to work off current 850/950
inventory and may lead to channels pushing that product through to work off
inventory at the expense of larger form factor 857/957 sales.

On the call, Aether management commented that it would move to a JIT
inventory rather than accumulate large devices ahead of the sales ramp. We
have seen this trend reported at modem suppliers such as NVTL and SWIR and
believe this could cause a slowdown in new channel orders over the next two
quarters.

We believe management has taken efforts to guide conservatively ahead of the
GPRS ramp (15% down sequentially for June), but believe near-term upside is
limited due to this channel softness.

We have more comfort with second half numbers, as we believe GPRS Blackberry
service is set to commence customer trials in late May and tracking to ramp
in the August quarter. We maintain our BUY.

Price Target Mkt.Value 52-Week
04/27/012 (12mo.) Div. Yield (MM) Price Range
$32.14 $0.00 None $2,700 $175.75-9.25
Annual Prev. Abs. Rel.
EPS1 EPS P/E P/E
2/02E $0.21 187.5X 938%
2/01E $0.11 937.5 860%
2/00A $0.27 500.0 753%
May Aug. Nov. Feb. FY End
2001E $0.00A -$0.02A $0.02A $0.10E Feb.
2000A 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.05
1999A 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.04

Net Cash (11/00)
Book Value/Share (11/00) $11.21

Debt/Total Capital (11/00)
Common Shares3 84.0

1Canadian GAAP, U.S. dollars
2On 04/27/01 DJIA closed at 10,810 and S&P 500 at 1,253.
3 Includes recent share issuance.

RIM is a world leader in the design, marketing, and manufacturing of two-way
messaging and radio devices. The company also provides wireless data services
through its BlackBerry offering.

CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON CORPORATION CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON CORPORATION

Analyst: Cabi, M Telephone: (415) 836-7701 marc.cabi@csfb.com

CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON CORPORATION CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON CORPORATION

Copyright © CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON, and its subsidiaries and affiliates,
2001. All rights reserved.

CSFB may, to the extent permitted by law, participate or invest in financing
transactions with the issuer(s) of the securities referred to in this report,
perform services for or solicit business from such issuers, and/or have a
position or effect transactions in the securities or options thereon. In
addition, it may make markets in the securities mentioned in the material
presented in this report. PLEASE REFER TO TICKER CSFBDISC FOR IMPORTANT LEGAL
DISCLOSURES.

= = Research in Motion Limited = = RIMM: BUY
First Call Corporation, a Thomson Financial company.

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