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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold and Silver Mining Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (810)4/24/2001 6:22:55 PM
From: Archie Meeties  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4051
 
The use of the SA miners for exposure to Au and for income while you wait is old school thinking, just the stuff that works in a nasty bear. I'd keep an eye on HM cash costs for the next 2 q's. HM Western US mines (and NEM's as well) will be affected by the rising cost of mining in the US West, we just don't know how much, we only know the problems aren't going away soon. T.FN recently exited its only non-royalty property - Ken Snyder, in NV, and I don't think it was because cash costs were going down (the official word was problems with the contractor, but how it would go over with normandy if they had made specific reference to mine costs - just rank speculation about this). But electricity and fuel costs are going up in Nevada, and will continue to rise this summer. A nevada utility just suspended its dividend, and Nevada pulls its refined products from Cali, which will see some problems this summer given recent refinery fire and already depleted stocks.

On the silver side, the only critique is that you're heavily exposed to exploration success in SSRI. It needs much, much higher Ag prices to secure financing for even its most advanced (Bowdens) project, to say nothing about profitability. If silver prices stay where they are SSRI can't appreciate unless they have exploration success - which they've had some of. This is in contrast with T.BAY and SIL, which will be good mines at current Ag prices. Of course, with both of these you get exploration sizzle as well.

Other than that, you'll just need to hold some patience, hopefully not more than 1-2 years.



To: ild who wrote (810)4/24/2001 10:18:44 PM
From: jim black  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4051
 
Just a thought form an old fart...Looks like you are about 40% in African stocks...I've been there
loved visiting Tanzania for a month but would put NONE of my money there...may want to look at the Canadians
like Franco-Nevada, a royalty based company with lots of cash and a really fine business plan as seen on their road show web site, also. AEM ( AGE on Toronto Exchange, no hedging) and Goldcorp (GG on NYSE,
just G on Toronto) all FWIW...I personally think there is sufficient risk in ABX I would not touch it, but then that
is what makes a horserace...good luck
jim black



To: ild who wrote (810)4/24/2001 11:54:09 PM
From: re3  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4051
 
so you too had a bigger position in tvx that turned into a smaller one ? -bg-



To: ild who wrote (810)4/25/2001 10:32:00 AM
From: Claude Cormier  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4051
 
Ild,

I prefer more exposure to silver and to juniors or mid-tiers and eliminate (or increase) positions that are below 3% of PF. I also think there is too much exposure to SA.