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To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (39279)4/25/2001 10:47:41 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
Even if the market wants to test lows of 1192 in such a environemnt the rebound would be explosive..



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (39279)4/25/2001 10:47:56 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Respond to of 50167
 
<<The National Association of Realtors said U.S. March sales of existing homes rose 4.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.44 million units, the second highest rate on record.

Sales of existing U.S. homes rose to their second-highest rate on record in March, spurred by lower mortgage rates, a realtors group said on Wednesday.

The record is 5.45 million units seen in June 1999, according to the NAR.>>

The rate for February was revised up slightly to 5.19 million units from a previously reported 5.18 million. The March reading was well above Wall Street expectations of 5.13 million units. Again even I have my doubts on that low consumer confidence number a aberation, it has tendency to mask relaity in severe corrections, during March and towards the end we retested the lows on Comp when that number was taken, the lower confidence is relfective of that pessimism..

These are not kind of numbers that you get when economy is in recession, yes a major slow down from neck break speed of 7.5% some quarters to more doable 2-3% but in a falling interest rate environment, higher durable goods and decent housing starts are good news..