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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Economy and its Winners -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bill Harmond who wrote (6627)4/25/2001 9:41:31 PM
From: Mark Fowler  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57684
 
Do you have any idea about when the telecom carriers will come out of this? Bill you think Cien has the most potential of any optical company out there today? I do, but I'm concerned it could be affected by the slow down.



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (6627)4/26/2001 3:07:54 AM
From: Dale Baker  Respond to of 57684
 
AREM's advantages are more in its business model:

--Target market is medium size enterprises in emerging markets, less subject to the current economic slowdown

--They work in a few specific ERP niches like hospitality, medical care, etc.

--They can customize packages cheaply with their programming operation in India

--AREM does not recognize revenues for a whole deal when it is signed. Sales are booked over the life of a deal as milestones are met, so they have a clear backlog and don't blow their quarter in their last week.

AREM management was slightly cautious going forward but I think they just wanted to give themselves another hurdle to clear in their next report.



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (6627)4/26/2001 10:18:24 AM
From: 16yearcycle  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 57684
 
In fall 98, the $tyx exploded from 48 to 54 in a month, signaling an improving economy, and then settled down, while stocks continued through an enormous advance. Now the $tyx has exploded again, from 52 to 58, and is now settling down, ala 1998.

There isn't much doubt we have bottomed. The question is whether we are in the right stuff again. Time will tell.