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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (98385)4/27/2001 3:32:34 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Commercials sold lots of gold and shorted a little more of S&P. Sigh.



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (98385)4/27/2001 3:44:32 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
cot sucks for gold...



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (98385)4/27/2001 3:45:41 PM
From: UnBelievable  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
CFTC Commitments: CME NASDAQ 100 futures-Apr 27
Futures World News - April 27, 2001 15:36


Apr. 27-MAR--



Nasdaq-100 Stock Index - Chicago Mercantile Exchange
Reportable Positions As Of 04/24/01
      | 
---------------------------------------------------------| Nonreportable
Non-Commercial | Commercial | Total | Positions
-------------------------|---------------|---------------|---------------
Long | Short |Spreading| Long | Short | Long | Short | Long | Short
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
12,832 5,053 347 26,815 37,114 39,994 42,514 12,427 9,907

Changes From 04/17/01 (Change In Open Interest: -5,174)
2,131 -1,354 -36 -5,044 -2,207 -2,949 -3,597 -2,225 -1,577

Percent Of Open Interest For Each Category Of Traders
24.5 9.6 0.7 51.2 70.8 76.3 81.1 23.7 18.9

Number Of Traders In Each Category (Total Traders: 116)
29 16 2 45 35 74 53

(Nasdaq 100 Index X $100) Open Interest: 52,421
End



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (98385)4/27/2001 4:02:31 PM
From: re3  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
punch up a quote on GLG

ho ho ho



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (98385)4/27/2001 4:49:21 PM
From: UnBelievable  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Would You Call The SPX Pattern Since March 31 A Bear Flag?



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (98385)4/27/2001 5:16:13 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
SEC Eyeing Recent Inventory Write-Downs by Technology Companies
By Judy Mathewson

Washington, April 27 (Bloomberg) -- The Securities and Exchange
Commission is ``closely following'' a spate of inventory write-downs
by technology companies out of concern the practice may mislead
investors, said Chief Accountant Lynn Turner.

At issue is whether the write-downs, which companies are
supposed to record when inventory is obsolete or devalued, are
being used for material that will still have value if business picks up.

``My concern is that people are taking write-downs now and maybe
later anticipating selling this (inventory) at a profit,'' Turner said in a
telephone interview.

Turner stopped short of saying the SEC would launch an inquiry into
the write-downs. Though he declined to comment on specific
companies, those taking write-downs include Cisco Systems Inc.,
which plans a $2.5 billion charge in the fiscal quarter that ends
today.

``This is truly shareholder capital that's been lost,'' said David Tice,
president of David W. Tice & Associates, a manager of the Prudent
Bear Fund. Tice is known for causing Tyco International Ltd. shares
to tumble by one third in two months in late 1999 when he
questioned the company's accounting.

The SEC's interest in the write-downs at Cisco and other
companies was reported in this morning's Wall Street Journal, which
listed Extreme Networks Inc. Copper Mountain Networks Inc.,
Conexant Systems Inc. and Avanex Corp. and New Focus Inc. as
companies taking inventory write-downs.

`Pro Forma' Statements

The question is whether some of these write-downs will greatly
reduce the value of the inventory on the companies' books -- with the
profit recorded later if demand rebounds.

The companies can also leave the charges out of the ``pro forma''
financial statements they issue in the form of press releases. This
``pro forma'' format, which isn't governed by accounting rules,
enables companies to exclude expenses that must be reported in
regulatory filings, Tice said. That means that in addition to a future
profit that may appear artificially large, the initial cost appears
artificially small.

``The best way to show improved results in the future is to make it as
bad as possible for now and provide for a big bath where massive
charges are taken because Wall Street ignores those charges,'' he
said.

Cisco spokesman Kent Jenkins said the company has done nothing
unusual this year.

``The only thing that has changed this quarter is a very significant
change in demand for some of our products,'' he said. That drop in
demand comes on the heels of the company's efforts last year to
build up inventory to address a parts shortage, he said.

Same Process

``We are using exactly the same process this quarter that we have
used every quarter for years,'' he said. ``That process has been
examined and approved by our auditors. We look at our entire
product line product by product. We estimate what the demand for
each product will be for the next year, and then if we have on hand
parts or supplies that exceed what we would need to produce that
product for the next year, we write them off.''

Agreeing with Cisco is Robert Willens, a Lehman Brothers Holdings
Inc. managing director who specializes in accounting and tax
issues.

``This is something that does come up in business downturns,''
Willens said. ``Write-downs like this are a very accepted and
mandatory procedure in circumstances where the inventory is being
carried on the books at greater than it's net realizable value.''



©2001 Bloomberg L.P. All rights reserved. Terms of Service, Privacy Policy and Trademarks.

quote.bloomberg.com



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (98385)4/27/2001 5:22:49 PM
From: Dr. Jeff  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
biz.yahoo.com

Friday April 27, 1:32 pm Eastern Time

Greenspan Confident Debt to Be Paid Off

By Jonathan Nicholson

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan predicted on
Friday that the United States is likely to see large budget surpluses for some time, enabling it
ultimately to pay off the publicly held portion of the national debt.

``While the magnitudes of future federal unified budget surpluses are
uncertain, they are highly likely to remain sizable for some time,'' the
central bank chief told the annual convention of The Bond Market
Association.

Greenspan addressed the meeting, which was in White Sulphur Springs,
W.Va., by satellite from Washington.

He did not mention the near-term outlook for the U.S. economy, except
to note that the current slowdown in growth probably would cause a
weak spell for productivity gains.

But he said the long-term trend of fast productivity growth should remain
intact, which bodes well for the government's balance sheet.

The government posted a $236.92 billion surplus last year, its third straight annual surplus. Both the White House and
Congressional Budget Office project a continued rise in the surplus, which they see hitting about $281 billion in the current fiscal
year that ends in September.

However, the slowing economy will put a damper on revenues, and plans to speed up an income tax cut to make it effective
this year may put also make a dent in those estimates. But Greenspan suggested there is little reason for concern.

``Current forecasts suggest that under a reasonably wide range of possible tax and spending policies, the resulting surpluses will
allow the Treasury debt held by the public to be paid off,'' Greenspan said.

The national debt, the accumulation of past annual budget shortfalls, totals about $5.601 trillion, of which about $3.327 trillion
is in the hands of the investing public. The remainder is held by government trust funds, including the trust fund for the Social
Security retirement program.

``CONFIDENT'' MARKETS WILL ADAPT

While financial markets have worried about the potential loss of the U.S. Treasury debt market -- which serves as a benchmark
for pricing private-sector issues and as a ``safe haven'' for investors during rocky markets -- Greenspan offered reassuring
comments about the impact of a dwindling supply of low-risk government paper.

``I am confident that U.S. financial markets, which are the most innovative and efficient in the world, can readily adapt to a
paydown of Treasury debt by creating private alternatives with many of the attributes that market participants value in Treasury
securities,'' he said.

As surpluses have mounted in recent years, the Treasury has needed to issue less and less debt to finance government
operations. As a result, the Treasury eliminated some debt issues and dramatically curtailed issuance of others, raising concerns
on Wall Street that the Treasury securities market will become less active and eventually disappear.

Greenspan admitted there would likely be transition costs as markets moved to replace Treasury securities with other financial
instruments, such as swaps, agency securities and corporate debt. But he said those costs are likely ``to be outweighed by the
benefits to the country of a higher capital stock and the resulting increases in productivity and income that appear to be the
consequence of debt reduction.''

And even if the Treasury market should vanish, Greenspan told the bond industry participants he had ``great confidence'' in
their ability to renew a market for Treasury debt in the future. Government deficits, and their attendant financing needs, are
expected to return as the retirement of the Baby Boom generation puts a strain on Social Security.

Greenspan also repeated that the central bank, which buys and sells Treasury securities itself to carry out interest rate policy, is
examining its options for the future. Any adjustments to its operations, he said, would depend on how rapidly the supply of
Treasury debt shrinks and for how long the market is unavailable.

DOLLAR NOT SEEING PAYDOWN EFFECTS

Greenspan discounted concerns that the U.S. dollar could weaken as the supply of Treasury securities -- a favorite for foreign
investors -- dwindles.

``The evidence of the past year and a half gives little support to this notion: Foreign private investors, on net, have run off their
holdings of U.S. Treasury securities, while they have built up their holdings of private dollar assets by an even larger amount,
and the foreign exchange value of the dollar has appreciated.''

The Fed chief repeated his concern, which he outlined in detail earlier this year in testimony to Congress, that the government
could accumulate large stores of private assets once the debt is paid down.

In that testimony, Greenspan announced his support for tax cuts as a means of forestalling a sudden accumulation of private
assets, a controversial switch from his previous emphasis on paying down the national debt.

In his remarks to The Bond Market Association, he suggested looking into other options, such as individual savings accounts,
for dealing with the need to put aside accumulated surpluses to pay for future retirement program benefits.