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To: Les H who wrote (66)4/28/2001 8:22:08 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29599
 
Nine Month Cycle

cycle tendencies
10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low
Apr 4 start start start 1103 none
Apr 27 green green green 1253 +150 1253 +150 1103 - 0
May 21 yellow green green
Jun 13 red yellow green
Jul 6 green yellow green
Jul 30 yellow red yellow
Aug 22 red red yellow
Sep 14 green green yellow
Oct 8 yellow green yellow
Oct 31 red yellow red
Nov 23 green yellow red
Dec 17 yellow red red
Jan 9 red red red

Previous cycle

cycle tendencies
10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low
May 24 start start start 1361 none
Jun 16 green green green 1464 +103 1483 +122 N.A.
Jul 10 yellow green green 1475 + 11 1488 + 24 1436 - 28
Aug 2 red yellow green 1438 - 37 1517 + 42 1414 - 61
Aug 25 green yellow green 1506 + 68 1513 + 75 1426 - 12
Sep 15 yellow red yellow 1465 - 38 1530 + 24 1460 - 46
Oct 11 red red yellow 1364 - 99 1467 + 2 1349 -115
Nov 3 green green yellow 1426 + 62 1433 + 67 1305 - 59
Nov 27 yellow green yellow 1348 - 78 1438 + 12 1321 -105
Dec 20 red yellow red 1264 - 84 1389 + 41 1261 - 87
Jan 12 green yellow red 1318 + 54 1350 + 86 1254 - 10
Feb 03 yellow red red 1349 + 31 1385 + 67 1313 - 5
Feb 28 red red red 1239 -110 1354 + 5 1215 -134
Mar 23 red 1139 -100 1267 + 28 1081 -158
Apr 4 red 1103 - 36 1183 + 44 1091 - 48



To: Les H who wrote (66)4/29/2001 12:18:34 PM
From: John Lacelle  Respond to of 29599
 
Hey Les,

Thanks for that chart page. It is starting to look to me that what we have
just experienced was a good old solid correction just as most of us had
expected to see for the past few years. It cleaned the clock of the .com
speculators and thumped its supply group, but given the recent numbers
it looks like the GDP is still positive. That is great news. I feel sorry for
all of the people on margin who got worked during the slide but everyone
knows thats what can happen.

In the put/call ratio I trust,

-John