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To: Judith Williams who wrote (42220)	4/28/2001 2:02:43 PM
From: daffydog	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 54805

Judith, I also found this article by Kurzweil to be amazing. This is a must read for everyone on this thread, but don't start it unless you have a couple of hours. The notion that we will have the technology in a few short decades to produce a $1000 computer that has the massively parallel processing capability of a human brain, and a few years after that a similarly-priced computer that will have the capability of 10,000,000,000 human brains is more than a little stunning. This makes concerns about the short-term market plunges seem trivial. MGG

To: Judith Williams who wrote (42220)	4/28/2001 9:16:20 PM
From: Rick	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 54805

"His chart on mass use of inventions is mind boggling, albeit he starts with the technologically challenged Cro-Magnum man. Early in the cycle—when our furry ancestors were playing with fire and tinkering with iron..." A nitpickers thoughts: Cro-Magnon is us. And while some of us are technologically challenged <g> perhaps he meant Neanderthal man. Also tinkering with iron only started about 3000 years ago, the use of fire started much earlier. - Fred

To: Judith Williams who wrote (42220)	5/12/2001 3:50:11 PM
From: Apollo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 54805

Kurzweil....The Singularity is Near I would like to thank Judith and Kmaxwell for leading this thread to this precis on the exponential growth in technologic progress. IOWs, not only is technology growing, but the rate of growth is exponential. Very mind expanding.....and time consuming 59 PDF pages. But worth it, IMHO. Great reading on the plane. One question: I love the many graphs demonstrating exponential growth rates, but there were no references. How do we know his comments on growth are valid? kurzweilai.net Comments anyone? best, apollo