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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: minorejoy2000 who wrote (6589)	4/30/2001 10:01:49 PM
From: dawgfan2000	Respond to of 52237

MJ2000, I think the best answer is to review the thread header. AS has not offered any of the 4 thread topics of discussion to it's posts. It frequently belittles key thread members and offers no substance to questions posed. These are the qualities that make SA the type of thread that is valuable. As Lee stated, there are far too many other threads that offer the forum that AS desires. Some threads are open, some are focused (within acceptable degrees). If AS stopped for a moment and read the context of the past postings on this thread, it would see that this thread is neither all bullish or all bearish, but somewhere in between and uses good TA and FA analysis for discussion. While I too encourage a wide range of posters to come here (far too many lurk and only occasionally make an appearance), the quality of the thread does need to be maintained at a cost. While I opposed moderated threads, I would prefer that we do not need to ban here, merely stick to the fundamentals of the structure of the thread and the ignore button if necessary. I would find it FAR TOO EASY to blow AS out of the water with its mindless dribble, and unprovoked accusations. As for focused bandwidth, I have strayed here and will step aside for now. BTW AS, please answer Casuabon's question about bull traps; LU was priced at $9.97 on 3/30/01 so that one is up a whole $.04 for the month, and if you want to count Clownbucks, GrilSgt and the like as your "supporters", go for it! cheers mj2k, Started By: Chris Date: Feb 10, 2001 10:32 AM Welcome to Stock Attack II! new: This thread is now moderated due to rise in personal attacks. The old post are still here: Subject 14043 This thread was created more than 4 years ago, and still going strong. We have tracked this wild and volatile market since then and have done very well timing this market. Some of our notable achievements include selling and avoiding the Asia meltdown and also the 30% meltdown of Year 2000. More importantly, we gave timely buy signals near the bottom. Our thread is also unique and special in that we heavily use charts created by our members and link them within our posts. Thus, we can graphically depict and follow the market everyday. This thread topic can include: 1) Fundamental Analysis (P/E ratios, Balance Sheet, Earnings,etc.) 2) Technical Analysis (Charts, Indicators, Trendlines, etc.) 3) News Analysis (Effects of News/Rumors, Product/Industry Info) 4) Broad Market Analysis (NAZ/DJIA, Interest Rates, etc.) There are countless of websites and books on "how to make money in the market". Here, we will applying some of those concepts and strategies and hopefully discuss them together. This is a place to share ideas. We encourage you to post questions and answers. It is the questions that make a thread come alive. Let this place not only be informative and educational, but also to have fun and make investing in stocks an enjoyable and profitable endeavor. Best of luck to all, Chris Chang Bob Graham All stocks posted are not recommendations to buy or sell. Past results is not an indication of future performance.

To: minorejoy2000 who wrote (6589)	5/1/2001 12:58:11 AM
From: Lee Lichterman III	Respond to of 52237

I see what you are saying but his signal to noise ratio is horrible as viewed on other threads. Just look at what has happened on this thread today alone. I would say there are maybe 15 posts that are relevant to the market and the rest are either him or angry responses to him. I would hate to see this thread turn into what MDD has become. This thread usually has 90% or more of the posts backed by TA or FA and is timely, fact based opinions. Not the same stuff hyped over and over again. Chris, I vote ban Now to make this something more on topic..... Our indicators are saying sell zone but not a strong selloff yet, probably just a normal sized pullback. My regular charts as you can see in non tech are almost all sells across the board. Don had a class 1 sell on the DOW today and we already met his minimum requirement for the downside so who knows for sure. My stuff though says there is more down to come in non tech. As far as tech, I still think we get a minor pullback to close that gap then move up but time is running out. Tomorrow's NAPM report that comes out around 10:00 EST will be HUGE!!! This report should show if the GDP report was bogus or if we could be really turning a corner. Expectations are for 43 which shows a bit more slowing. If it comes in hot above 45 or so, then the GDP report may be given more merit and a rally could over ride the technicals. A worse report down around 42 ( a 2 point decrease from last month) would be recessionary and show the GDP report was just a mirage. GLOBEX triggers are neutral so what you see on GLOBEX is what you get. CFZ filtered...... From: heinz blasnik Monday, Apr 30, 2001 4:21 PM View Replies (1) \| Respond to of 98698 nothing between those friends. the way the money supply is exploding one wonders what they are thinking? inflation revives (anecdotal evidence, copied from kitco): Big-ticket items. Home prices are accelerating. The median price for existing homes rose to $143,500 in March, up 6.5% from a year earlier, says the National Association of Realtors. And rising home values are pushing up property taxes in some regions. Auto prices have inched up an average of 1.5%, although transaction prices — what buyers actually pay — have climbed 3.5% as they snap up expensive vehicles, says Art Spinella of CNW Market Research. usatoday.com Energy costs. Winter shortages and higher demand for both electricity and natural gas boosted utility bills by $200 or more a month for millions of consumers. Cooling bills are expected to be 30% to 50% higher this summer. Gasoline prices are up nearly 13 cents the past 2 weeks to an average price of $1.67 a gallon, up 8.4% since early April. usatoday.com Medical costs. Paced by prescription drugs and hospital fees, health care costs are rising at a 5.9% annual rate, the Labor Department says. Employers' insurance premiums are up 10% this year. Workers are feeling the pain because they pay one-third of the cost. Prices on leading prescription drugs such as hormone treatment Premarin and antidepressant Prozac are up 8% to 15%, says pharmacy benefit manager Express Scrips. Prices for drugs popular among senior citizens are up sharply, too, says Ron Pollack of consumer advocacy group Families USA. Consumer staples. Prices on some cuts of beef are up by 10%. The National Cattleman's Association blames the harsh winter, smaller herds and increased consumption. usatoday.com Consumer staples. Prices on some cuts of beef are up by 10%. The National Cattleman's Association blames the harsh winter, smaller herds and increased consumption. Cigarette prices are expected to rise to an average $3.05 a pack after last week's 14-cent wholesale price increase by Philip Morris and R.J. Reynolds. They also raised wholesale prices 14 cents a pack in December. Milk is up 18 cents or more a gallon in some states, boosting the price of other dairy-related products. "Inflation fears? You betcha," says Pendra Jane Rich, a logistics manager from Toledo, Ohio. "Up through last year, yogurt cost 39 cents. Now, it's 69 cents." Julia Rutherford, a retiree from De Leon Springs, Fla., says her monthly house payment has risen considerably because of higher property taxes. And she finds higher prices for staples disturbing. "Ground beef is more than $2 a pound. It's outrageous," says Rutherford, 69. usatoday.com Some price increases are almost too subtle to notice. Leather furniture prices are up 15% or more. That's because disease scares plaguing European cattle have pushed prices for cowhide skins up 66%. Some of the USA's 35,000 laundromats have held back surging utility costs by cutting drying times on laundry loads. Not that cleaning costs haven't soiled pocketbooks — about 80% of laundromats have raised prices at least 20% to an average $1.50 a load, according to the Coin Laundry Association. usatoday.com Compensation Costs Continue to Move Up, Fed Is In a Tough Spot April 26, 2001 The Employment Cost Index ( ECI ) rose 1.1% in the first quarter, taking the year-to-year gain to 4.1%. This is the fifth consecutive quarter when compensation costs have risen in excess of 4.0%. Both major components of the ECI rose at a faster pace in the first quarter compared with the prior quarter. Wages and salaries increased 1.0% and benefit costs advanced 1.3% in the first quarter. Benefits costs rose largely due to higher health insurance costs. ntrs.com ================================================= Omaha, Nebraska, April 28 ( Bloomberg ) -- Billionaire investor Warren Buffett said that potential ``icebergs'' in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac prompted Berkshire to sell shares in the government sponsored entities. Berkshire last year sold nearly all of its 8 1/2 percent stake of Freddie Mac, the No. 2 buyer of U.S. mortgages, and an undetermined amount of Fannie Mae. Buffett said he decided to sell the shares after he became ``uncomfortable'' with the risks at the two largest buyers of U.S. mortgages. ``We felt the risk profile had changed somewhat, we're quite sensitive to risk in banks, insurance companies or government- sponsored entities, there's so much you don't know,'' said Buffett. ``We're never sure if there's an iceberg situation or not. We figured we'd never see it until it's too late.'' quote.bloomberg.com