To: Thomas Kelly who wrote (1640 ) 5/2/2001 1:17:11 AM From: Hickory Respond to of 2357 Tom, Although Forecaster predicted that Hurricane would rescue the Alibekmola concession from the Kazakhi "thieves" and I said it was more likely the "thieves" would take over Hurricane, I don't feel confident about predicting what will happen after the Kazakhis assume control. My guess is that CAIH will pay close to the per share price at which the independent evaluators value Hurricane. But, of course, that would be for only 1 out of about every 7 shares that we hold. We'd be left holding the other 6 shares. What Hurricane would be worth on the market after "the clan" takes over control of it???? Who knows. People haven't been willing to pay very much or buy very many shares of Hurricane, even with Bernard and his team in firm control of it----probably because they were afraid that something like this might happen. I have a very little bit of Vintage Petroleum. Its reserves are the longest-lived of any of the significant E&P cos. Yet it sells for only 6 times earnings (versus 10 times earnings for its peers), apparently because it has significant production in Argentina, as well as in Yemen and Bolivia, in addition to its major holdings in US and Canada. As a long-time oil man who posts on the Motley Fool Oil and Gas board said, the first thing to consider when you are doing due diligence on an oil co. is the country where its main, or significant other, resources are located. Kazakhis have a very different way of thinking about doing business. Conducting it so that it basically benefits your extended family or clan is not only o.k.; it is the RIGHT way to do business. We westerners call it nepotism and group it and bribes and related practices under the category of "corruption." They see it as the way you SHOULD do business. I would find it very hard, if not impossible, to predict how the Kazakhis will conduct Hurricane's business, except that I'm sure it will greatly benefit "the clan." Many are fond of saying that they would not dare do anything that would have an ill effect on the non-Kazakhi shareholders. Tellengarten, on the Raging Bull board, says that there is no evidence that the CAIH people have done anything that negatively affects other shareholders in businesses they control. I have no information on that. I am aware that, apparently, Kulibayev and his cronies dispossessed the Belgian Tractabel so they could control the transport of the oil that is the lifeblood of Kazakhstan and collect the revenues from it. Guess we'll just have to wait and see what happens to the 6 out of each 7 shares that we own that won't be bought by CAIH and Korinth. Hickory