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Strategies & Market Trends : ahhaha's ahs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ahhaha who wrote (2180)	5/2/2001 3:09:02 PM
From: Ahda	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 24758

USUAL WEEKLY EARNINGS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS: FIRST QUARTER 2001 ninety ten Median weekly earnings of the nation's 99.1 million full-time wage and salary workers were $592 in the first quarter of 2001, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This was 3.0 percent higher than a year earlier, compared with a gain of 3.4 percent in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) over the same period. Full-time workers age 25 and over without a high school diploma had median weekly earnings of $371, compared with $513 for high school grad- uates (no college) and $922 for college graduates. Among college graduates with advanced degrees (professional or master's degree and above), the highest -earning 10 percent of male workers made $2,434 or more per week, compared with $1,663 or more for their female counterparts. (See table 4.) NAPM comments While it does show is that perhaps we've reached a bottom in manufacturing, obviously there's still long way to go before the nation's factories get up and running at full strength,'' said Kevin Flanagan, fixed-income strategist at Morgan Stanley. Fed Stats rebuttal In March 2001, manufacturing industries accounted for 43 percent of all mass layoff events and 51 percent of all initial claims filed. A year earlier, layoffs in manufacturing accounted for 33 percent of events and 35 percent of initial claims. Manufacturing industries with the highest number of initial claimants were transportation equipment (15,216), mostly in motor vehicles and car bodies and in motor vehicle parts and accessories, and electronic and other electrical equipment (14,473), largely in printed circuit boards and in semiconductors. (See table 2.) Temp jobs are decreasing In the service-producing sector, services employment was little changed in March. Job gains in health services (26,000), social services (15,000), computer services (11,000), and several other industries were largely offset by a sharp decline in help supply services (83,000). Employment in help supply, which primarily provides temporary workers to other businesses, has declined for 6 consecutive months, losing 273,000 jobs over the period. T is raising the cost of broadband, electrical rates are rising, it appears housing is not decreasing in price. CPI is outpacing wages that can't continue either wages catch up or more outsourcing comes in. A couple of years ago GE T Cisco Oracle were the biggest producers of income T has done very well in the debt area this year. The money goes more into final prices than it goes into production. True Kind of interesting fact there has been a decrease in the full time two jobs for one person, this year. Maybe it is due to exhaustion of sixteen hour days. Perhaps they will be requesting higher pay or workmans comp due to stress. too many dollars and too little buying power.

To: ahhaha who wrote (2180)	5/4/2001 3:19:40 AM
From: FR1	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 24758

Recently the FED has increased the frequency of coupon passes... Just curious where you go (what url) to see the list of coupon passes.

To: ahhaha who wrote (2180)	5/5/2001 12:17:46 AM
From: ahhaha	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 24758

Market players should take note of some visual evidence for my previous remarks. Referring to the below link: stls.frb.org one should note that the 10-year Treasury has cut up through the fed funds rate. More and more money causes rates to rise due to rational expectations for inflation. The market is saying FED has made yet another mistake by lowering the fed funds target below 5%. They should have waited. There is only possible expectation now concerning further decreases. There is no chance that FED will lower the fed funds target any time soon, where soon is something like six months. There is a good chance that by August they will have to raise fed funds back to 5%. In order to keep the fed funds rate below 5% instantaneously, the quantity of money created will have to accelerate. Money goes more into final prices via wage increases than it goes into real output.