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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (36660)5/6/2001 12:36:23 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
talk about expectations out of line
jobs report on Thursday expected plus 40k jobs
instead a record minus 220k jobs
rally and run, right over the cliff
layoffs are accelerating, exactly as I anticipated
spending should catch up on the downside soon
meanwhile, trading technicals actually look read good
for both indexes and key stocks
go figure
whether a bottom V or U has been put it, who knows?
my guess is a WWW bottom until Thanksgiving
five weeks up, five weeks down, then let's do it again
I agree with GregMull about how CSCO is a key indicator

was thinking about shorting that joke AMZN
if it were just 1-2 pts higher, it would be perfect for short
in another week it might be there
my guess is we rally insanely irrationally at mild pace up to May15th FOMC
if they cut another 50 bpts, then what more can be hoped for until July?
not much, just like in late Jan, awaiting midMarch
I see big risk between midMay and July
/ jim