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Strategies & Market Trends : The Amateur Traders Corner -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Kern who wrote (9068)5/7/2001 11:00:46 AM
From: Tom Hua  Respond to of 19633
 
BARRON’S, May 7, 2001
Market Week, page MW15

“In the past month the NASDAQ 100, or NDX, index has rallied over 40%. “Even for
technology stocks, this is an impressive gain for such a short period,” says a
Lehman Brothers’ Equity Derivatives and Quantitative Research department.
During the same period, NDX implied volatility, as measured by the VXN, the Chicago
Board Options Exchange’s Nasdaq volatility index, has fallen sharply – from highs
approaching 80 to a low on May 2 of 63.9.

“The last time the VXN broke below 65, on January 23, the NDX began a long,
steady 10-week selloff from over 2,600 to below 1,400. Says the Lehman report:
‘For those investors who participated in the healthy 40% rally over the last month,
we
believe now is a good time to protect those gains. We recommend buying puts
either
on the indexes or the stocks.’

“Alternately, Lehman suggests replacing technology stocks in a portfolio with call
options. Investors lock in gains by selling stock, while the call they purchase
provides
a new floor for upside potential.”



To: Paul Kern who wrote (9068)5/7/2001 2:27:28 PM
From: Tom Hua  Respond to of 19633
 
Monday May 7, 1:48 pm Eastern Time

Economic impact of energy costs unclear-Fed's Jordan

ATHENS, Ohio, May 7 (Reuters) - The impact of higher energy costs varies across the United
States and it is largely unclear how recent price rises will affect the U.S. economy, Federal Reserve
Bank of Cleveland President Jerry Jordan said on Monday.

Jordan, speaking to reporters after addressing
the local Rotary Club, said that since consumers
can react to price changes in different ways, it is
impossible to predict how the economy will be
affected.

For instance, he said, some consumers might cut down on their driving, or they
could switch from a sports utility vehicle to a smaller car.

``They can spend less on something else, they can invest less if they have
discretionary income,'' he added.

But he noted that energy costs are something that has a broad impact on
consumers.

``Any relative price change has a differential impact,'' he said. ``Energy is the one that tends to affect most people.''

Jordan also noted that people in different regions seem to have different reactions, adding: ``It's really very hard to generalize.''

Earlier on Monday, the government said that despite a slowing economy and higher fuel prices, Americans would buy more gasoline at
the pump than expected in the period through to September.

In its monthly energy outlook, the Energy Information Administration -- the Energy Department's statistical agency -- revised up
gasoline demand in the current quarter by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 8.61 million bpd, and also by 100,000 bpd in the third
quarter to 8.78 million bpd.

Demand is expected to grow even though the EIA believes the national average gasoline price could hit a record $1.75 a gallon this
summer, breaking the previous record of $1.68 reached last June.

The White House said on Monday that President George W. Bush is ``very concerned'' about rising gasoline prices but will resist
short-term solutions.



To: Paul Kern who wrote (9068)5/7/2001 2:48:51 PM
From: Tom Hua  Respond to of 19633
 
Paul, RBAK under pressure dragging down other networkers.

14:27 ET California Power : A hint of the summer to come: California is on Stage 2 alert today as hotter
temperatures are boosting electricity demand. Stage 2 alerts indicate that reserves are less than 5% and typically
require outages for customers that have accepted lower rates in exchange for interruptible service. Stage 3 is the
highest level alert and typically involves rolling blackouts.

14:20 ET Redback Ntwrks (RBAK) 21.60 -0.02 (-0.1%): Sources at Thomas Weisel telling Briefing.com that
firm is making cautions comments on the stock; in particular, firm concerned that current estimates may be
unachievable; numbers will have to come down.

Regards,

Tom