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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (68853)5/8/2001 2:26:23 PM
From: AC Flyer  Respond to of 116758
 
The 1993 bull took POG from ~$330 to ~$380 with a brief spike to ~$400. About a 15% increase. The same percentage increase now would take us to ~$305 POG and a Dow/Gold ratio of ~35. OTOH, a drop in the Dow to 9275 could accomplish the same Dow/Gold ratio at a $265 POG.

If we're entering an inflationary period and POG follows the same trajectory as in the last similar economic period, the 70s, then we may have to wait three or four years to see a Dow/Gold ratio of 20 and POG of ~$500.



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (68853)5/8/2001 2:45:12 PM
From: long-gone  Respond to of 116758
 
<<Because the gold stocks are acting extremely well even as bullion lags. >>

Bullion really doesn't seem to be lagging greatly, really it seems XAU is simply returning to a more traditional relationship to POG - perhaps in preparation for something far greater.