SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RR who wrote (36725)5/8/2001 7:55:39 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
Cisco posts $2.69 billion loss after charges

By Ben Klayman

CHICAGO, May 8 (Reuters) - New Economy powerhouse Cisco Systems Inc. (NasdaqNM:CSCO - news) on Tuesday posted its first-ever net loss after charges of $2.69 billion and said its quarterly operating profits fell drastically as it grappled with the slowing global economy and a spending slump on telecommunication equipment.

At the same time, Cisco's Chief Executive John Chambers suggested there might be at least a gleam of light at the end of a long, dark tunnel: A few promising signs that the communications and networking sectors could hit bottom in the next one to two quarters and perhaps resume growth in 2002.

Even so, the outlook for future demand remains murky, the company said, particularly in the service provider market, which includes cable and telephone companies. On top of that, European sales have dropped sharply and it appeared Cisco was still trying to discern what products were weak in different areas of Europe. North American sales were no better off.

``With what's going on domestically, where North America is ???ral, and with Europe turning over, I think it'd be very tough to say that, overall, the business is turning around in one to two quarters,'' said Justin McNichols, portfolio manager with San Francisco-based Osborne Partners Capital Management, which oversees about $600 million.

``I honestly think they (Cisco executives) can't get their arms around how bad the United States will be and how far (the weakness in) Europe will spread and to what areas,'' he said.


SLOWDOWN HITS CISCO HARD

The net loss came after charges of $2.2 billion for writing down excess inventory and $1.17 billion for a restructuring that includes 8,500 job cuts, or 17 percent of its work force, which were confirmed last month, slightly more than the 8,000 Cisco initially expected to cut when it first announced the job reductions in March.

Including the one-time items, the San Jose, California-based maker of computer-networking gear reported a fiscal third-quarter net loss of $2.69 billion, or 37 cents a share, compared with net income $641 million, or 8 cents a share, a year earlier.

Although in the past Cisco had repeatedly topped analyst expectations by precisely one penny, the precipitous slowdown in high-tech spending hit the company hard. The 30 percent drop in sales from its second quarter, for example, was so drastic Cisco hadn't even considered it possible, Chambers has said. Cisco's competitors, including Lucent Technologies Inc. (NYSE:LU - news) and Nortel Networks Corp., (NYSE:NT - news)are also laying off thousands.

Fortunes changed quickly for all concerned: Cisco went from year-over-year orders growth of 70 percent in November to a decline of 30 percent within a span of several months, Chambers noted.

Cisco said its profits before one-time items dropped 77 percent to $230 million, or 3 cents a share, for the quarter ended April 28, compared with pro forma net income of $1 billion, or 13 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Revenues for the quarter fell 4 percent to $4.73 billion from $4.93 billion last year.

``This may be the fastest deceleration any company of our size has ever experienced,'' Chambers said in a statement. ``We believe that the challenges we face are primarily based on macro-economic and capital spending issues, although there is always room for improvement in our own operations.''

After an April earnings warning, analysts had cut their expectations for Cisco to 2 cents a share, with a range of nil to 4 cents, according to Thomson Financial/First Call. Before the warning, analysts had expected a gain of 8 cents.

In after-hours trading, Cisco's stock dropped 73 cents, or 3.4 percent, to $19.65 from its close of $20.38 on Nasdaq trading, where it had gained $1.13, or nearly 6 percent. Over the past year, it has underperformed the Standard & Poor's 500 index by about 64 percent.

FOURTH-QUARTER SALES FORECAST REITERATED

Cisco's $2.2 billion write-down for excess inventory was less than its earlier estimate of $2.5 billion, Chief Financial Officer Larry Carter said, adding that the less-than-expected charge was due to the conservative nature of its initial forecast, issued in April.

Cisco said on April 16 its third-quart???re one-time items would be in the ``very low'' single-digit range and that sales would fall 30 percen Fo???n the second quarter. It also said last month that fourth-quarter sales would be flat to down 10 percent sequentially, which it again reiterat? Du Du %? DE?as a public company.

But Chambers said on Tuesday there were signs that spending on telecommunications equipment could soon hit bottom.

``We do see a number of positive indications that could result in a bottom in our industry in the next one to two quarters,'' Chambers said on the conference call. ``We underestimated how quickly the valley would occur and the depth of the valley.''

biz.yahoo.com
Ö¿Ö



To: RR who wrote (36725)5/8/2001 8:32:18 PM
From: Dealer  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
Thoughts in and around SI: This dude thinks sorta like you RR

To:LTK007 who wrote (42994)
From: ajtj99 Tuesday, May 8, 2001 7:11 PM
Respond to of 42995

Futures down 25 points so far. It looks like we'll give back the gains from today. It appears retail bought the CSCO news this AM, pro's sold it, and covered before close.
I may sell my QQQ May 46 puts if there is sufficient blood on the street. We are trading is such a tight range right now, and I don't anticipate that changing before Tuesday afternoon.

We'll see if 2160 holds tomorrow. If it breaks, we may drop another 14-15 points or so. I don't see the COMP staying below 2120 right now.

The problem with my position is that while the market pretty much stays put for another week, my time value on my options erodes. I'll re-position QQQ puts on Monday afternoon or Tuesday morning, depending on how close to 2242 we are.

I think after the Fed meeting on Tuesday, the market is going to fall off a cliff. You heard it here first. Everything is ready to implode. Tuesday afternoon could be a 100-point drop followed by further erosion into Wednesday. I believe we'll end Friday a little above 2000, and drop below that the following week.

We'll see how it develops.

Max Pain for May QQQ's is 44.