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To: AllansAlias who wrote (2112)5/9/2001 5:52:51 AM
From: J_K  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Allan,
no need to learn German :-)

If you feed babblefish with the link it gives you ( I didn't check it ):

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Elliott Waves: Good chances for a strong rise

Chart CHECK: Dow Jones and Nasdaq100

The Elliott Waves sees a non-uniform start for the
Nasdaq100. Afterwards the index is to turn however
in the plus and to test the resistance at 1.980 points.
The Dow Jones could rise after a weak initialization
up to 11.000 points.

Daily view the USA for Tuesday, 08 May

The Nasdaq100-Index yesterday carried out the
expected consolidation in the first commercial half. It
was important that for yesterday central support at
1.880 points held. Did not succeed yet exceeding the
course high of Friday again however thereby the
very short term wave situation is cleared up
somewhat.

On Friday a clear upward impulse was trained very
at short notice. This is usually a clear sign for the fact
that at least still another second small move will
follow. This would bring then very at short notice
quotations until 1,980 points with itself, possibly
even briefly new intermediate highs.

The lateral movement of yesterday does not know
so far all flags of a consolidation up and evenly the
beginning of a small, new downtrend. It would not be
amazing thus, if the Nasdaq100-Index turns 1,980
points after an easily weaker initialization to 1,879
(mini Wave c) again in the plus and heads for the
resistance.

On view of several days at present much points on
the fact that wave-technically directed a sideways
trifishes itself trains. Therefore an outbreak should
take place upward after a lateral movement in the
next days, so that at the 14.Mai a course high is
trained at over 2.100 points.

This scenario applies however then only if the index
does not fall today for initialization significantly
under the support 1,880 points. There would be still
another second catching line with 1.850, however the
confidence is not very high into this support.

The short term market technique gives only little
meaningful referring to the further development, after
the signals are output-provoked by Thursday now.
The existing, small bearishen divergences can
itself however already during a small higher valuation
of the NDX into short term purchase signals modify
(example: RSI in the following Chart).

Result: The development of yesterday is actually
promising. Therefore the Nasdaq100 should turn
after a non-uniform start in the plus, so that a strong
move to 1,980 is realistic. Only significant quotations
under 1.880 negate this scenario.



The Dow Jones yesterday terminated the upward
impulse of Friday for initialization. The lateral
movement in the session process of yesterday has
so far only a correction character, so that thereby
the very short term, positive scenario supports.

Therefore the Korrekturwave iv ended ' in form of a
Expanded Flat with the lowlow low . The higher
valuation since that time is thus constituent of the
small Wave v ' from 3 ' with the rough course target
of 11.100 points.

The trend of prices of yesterday is basic (still!) to
arrange as ' constructionally '. Because outgoing
from the current Dow status it should concern a
small correction wave. It does not seem to be yet
completely trained, however it gives positive
implications for the further course process index.

Because the Dow would therefore turn after an
easily weaker initialization at the latest in the
second commercial half again in the plus, so that an
improvement in prices until over 11.000 points would
be on the program. This primary scenario applies
however then only if today for initialization the
50%-Retracement holds with 10.837 points. A
correct sales signal is however only then generated if
the Dow falls under the flat trend line with
approximately 10,800 points.

The short term market technique is at a critical
point . Because it been sufficient already a weak first
commercial hour, thereby clear, very short term sales
signals arise. But: This crossroad can turn around in
addition, in the opposite direction. Indeed if by a
positive initialization the upward trend movement by
the indicators are acknowledged. Consider therefore
possible excursions of the indicators in the
15-Minuten-Chart in the first commercial hour , as
trend signal for the entire session.

Result: The chances are not badly that the Dow
runs clearly at the latest starting from the second
commercial half in the plus. In addition however the
support 10,837 in the course of the non-uniform
initialization should hold.



CONTACT: I ask to transmit you to opinions,
questions and comments on above analysis by Mail
to ELLIOTT@GMX.DE.

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NQ Futures are almos lock limit down - another buying opp like Friday?

Thanks for sharing your work,
Juergen