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To: Les H who wrote (135)	5/13/2001 10:44:15 PM
From: ajtj99	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 29601

Les, I believe the PPI numbers, the Consumer confidence numbers, and the strong retail sales numbers will make a compelling case for the Fed to ease 25BP this month. Although the high consumer confidence in April may be partially attributed to the Nasdaq soaring 38% in a little over 2-weeks, the Fed has to take it at face and deal with the possibility that they could ease 25BP this month and come back in June when things are bad with 50BP. The productivity numbers are the clincher, IMO. Les, I am continuously astounded by the amount of reading you do. Your posts are both informative and compelling.