To: yard_man who wrote (102118 ) 5/14/2001 5:44:03 PM From: Mark Adams Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258 I stumbled on to this article when trying to find evidence to correct my apparent misconception that up to 75% of electrical energy generated is lost in transmission. Perhaps you could comment on that- are high voltage transmission systems 90%+ efficient? I don't understand everything said in the article, but the downside of the traditional cost plus model is quite clear. It also fleshes out potential downside of the current political environment- ie the Bush/Cheney energy policy supporting 'growth' in energy production over conservation and alternative R&D, credits etc. We may choose short term profits over sustainability given our current leadership.For example, the replacement of traditional valve and cam systems with electro-magnetic valve actuators could improve reciprocating engine fuel efficiency by at least 15% from optimized combustion and lower friction9 and another 16% by unloading cylinders according to speed and power requirements.10 Considering that there are 200 million or so reciprocating engines in America’s cars and trucks, just a one percent efficiency increase would reduce the nation’s greenhouse gases more than any single concept identified in the Clinton/Gore Climate Change Action Plan. Unfortunately federal funding of reciprocating engine research and development (R&D) technologies is virtually non-existent compared to that for electric utility power plants. The cumulative effects of such federal R&D spending biases could cause EPRI’s growth predictions to become a self-fulfilling prophecy. And this is a plan being scrapped (Kyoto accord) due to inconclusive evidence of global warming. IMO, improved efficiency will prove valuable from a competitive stance on both the micro and macro scale. Boosting production of energy at higher prices might improve stability at the cost of higher emmissions, but I don't see it improving relative productivity for a given unit of energy. Industry will migrate to low cost energy sources in a global competitive landscape, eventually. The author seems to suggest that the political contributions enabled by the more powerful electrical utilities allow them to maintain influence over regulation and research efforts. This results in an energy supply system stable at a local optimum despite the potential of a better global optimum. "Those who have the money make the rules". Yet this has long term implications on the overall size of the pie on a national and global scale. Like everything else, deregulation and global climate change initiatives can also be gamed. Consequently, the alternative, and arguably the future we appear to be heading for, is an oligopolistic energy monoculture brought about by "captured" regulations that reward inefficiency. At a recent EPRI conference, their energy domination goal for electrification increased to 50% added growth over the next 10 to 15 years (which some participants believed were overly conservative). Moreover, EPRI's "road map" is directed "at the policymaking community and would reveal the essential leverage to be gained from a coordinated R&D approach." It would also allow "organizations like "EPRI and the national laboratories to carve out appropriate niches and begin to work together in new ways." Sentiments were also expressed that "if we don't do it, others will, and they may put in the wrong [non-electric] kind of energy systems." Such stratagems are highly reminiscent of Eisenhower's "military-industrial complex." With the electric utility industry ascending above the revenue generating abilities of the defense industry, it should come an no surprise that the electric utility industry should mimic the military-industrial complex's axiom of "killing for peace" with the functional equivalent of "polluting for the environment." Ah well- it's discouraging, but I don't see an investment angle here.