To: Knighty Tin who wrote (82 ) 5/19/2001 9:50:23 AM From: Freedom Fighter Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1269 KT, I hate to rain on your parade, but you guys are carrying even more dead weight that you think. I like Congaree too. :-) Going into the Derby I thought Point Given was the most talented horse. And lot's of Derby flops do bounce back in the Preakness. So I have to give him a big shot. But the way I see it, it's no lock that I was right about him to begin with in terms of him being better than Congaree and/or Monarchos. Now, it's no lock that he will bounce back to top form. So it's tough for me to take him in the Preakness as the favorite. I rated both Monarchos and Congaree in that evenly matched group just behind Point Given in the Derby. They are one and one against each other and I think the trip had a lot to do with the flip flop. In the Wood, Congaree stalked a moderate pace, took the lead without too much effort and held off Monarchos. In the Derby, he was used fairly hard staying with a fast pace that left a lot of other contenders buried. He wasn't right on it, but I suspect he was close enough that it had to have taken something out of him. Monarchos, on the other hand, got a great ride from Chavez in that big field - as a deep closer without any trouble at all. The Preakness looks a lot more like the Wood Memorial than the Derby. So I am leaning towards Congaree. But if either of the others wins I won't be shocked. I think a bet on any of the others horses in the field requires a big price. Just a note: I have hated AP Valentine ever since he lucked into the Champagne last year with an easy trip. I hear that Pimlico is wet. If it stays "very wet", Nick Zito's horse often improve dramatically on wet tracks. Good Luck!