To: Jerry Olson who wrote (2328 ) 5/22/2001 7:35:56 PM From: 2MAR$ Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 5893 SEMI Releases First Quarter Worldwide Equipment Market Figures and Revised 2001 Global Market Projections for Equipment Industry /CAUTION -- ADVANCE FOR RELEASE AT 12:00 p.m. EDT, WEDNESDAY, MAY 23/ /ADVANCE/ SAN JOSE, Calif., May 23 /PRNewswire/ -- Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International (SEMI), the global industry association of companies that supply manufacturing technology and materials to the world's chip makers, reported worldwide semiconductor manufacturing equipment shipments of US$11.2 billion in the first quarter of 2001. The figure is 10.9 percent above the same quarter a year ago and 12.7 percent below the shipment figure for the forth quarter of 2000. SEMI also reported worldwide equipment orders of US$ 6.50 billion in the first quarter of 2001. The figure is 50 percent below the same quarter a year ago and 53 percent below the orders figure for the forth quarter of 2000. "There was a rapid drop in the market for new semiconductor equipment in the first quarter as worldwide orders declined 53 percent from the fourth quarter of 2001," said Elizabeth Schumann, SEMI director of industry research and statistics. "While the rapidity of this downturn has been severe, we do expect a recovery in orders late in the second half to contribute to a more stable 2002 with flat or single digit growth across the industry." SEMI also revised its 2001 worldwide projection for the semiconductor manufacturing equipment industry, estimating a 27 percent decline in worldwide equipment shipments from $47.7 billion in 2000 to $35 billion in 2001. Three percent growth is expected for the year 2002, followed by 22 percent growth in 2003. "The growth experienced in 2000 is difficult to sustain, and in fact is not desirable over the long-term," said Stanley T. Myers, president and CEO of SEMI. "Historically, the semiconductor equipment industry has grown at a compound annual rate of 17 percent. Given 87 percent growth in one year, we can expect that the next year or so will bring a realignment with historic averages while the chip industry makes adjustments to bring capacity and inventory in line with demand." SEMI's worldwide equipment sales projections for 2001 reflect adjustments to data released last December as part of SEMI's biannual Consensus Forecast for the manufacturing equipment market. Today's revised equipment sales estimate is based on an analysis of first quarter order growth as a predictor of annual sales growth. In a briefing today in Burlington, Mass., SEMI analysts pointed out that the leading market research firms also have predicated spending reductions be semiconductor makers in the double-digit range for 2001. The quarterly shipment data by region in billion of U.S. dollars; and year-over-year and month-over-month growth rates by region are as follows: Q1 2000 Q4 2000 Q1 2001 Q1 2001 Q1 2001 % Growth % Growth (Y-O-Y) (M-O-M) Europe 1.39 1.87 1.58 13.6% -15.7% Japan 2.18 2.56 3.37 54.8% 31.7% North America 2.36 3.90 2.97 26.1% -23.7% Korea 0.82 0.91 1.03 25.3% 13.4% Taiwan 2.30 2.04 1.13 -50.8% -44.5% ROW 1.10 1.60 1.17 6.7% -27.1% Total 10.14 12.88 11.25 10.9% -12.7% "While annual revenues for integrated circuits (ICs) fluctuate based on average selling prices, the unit volume production has historically increased yearly," said Schumann. "1985 was the last year in which there was an annual decline in unit volume. Based on current quarterly trends, it appears that 2001 will be another negative growth year for IC units, which is contributing to the equipment market decline and will likely impact semiconductor materials market as well." SEMI is projecting that the worldwide semiconductor materials shipments, which typically track volume production, will decrease 6 percent in 2001. For information on SEMI's Industry Research and Statistics program and subscription services, call SEMI at 408-943-6973 or email mktstat@semi.org. Based in San Jose, Calif., SEMI is an international trade association serving more than 2,400 companies participating in the semiconductor and flat panel display equipment and materials markets. SEMI maintains offices in Austin, Beijing, Boston, Brussels, Hsinchu, Moscow, Seoul, Singapore, Tokyo and Washington, D.C. For more information, visit SEMI on the Internet at www.semi.org. SOURCE Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International -0- 05/22/2001/1200 /CONTACT: Jonathan Davis, 408-943-6937, or jdavis@semi.org, or Michael Droeger, 408-943-6953, or mdroeger@semi.org, both of Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International/ /Web site: semi.org CO: Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International ST: California IN: CPR SU: *** end of story ***