SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dealer who wrote (37119)5/21/2001 8:30:23 PM
From: pinhi  Respond to of 65232
 
Outstanding! Thanks Dealie. As Tim suggested, would probably like to see more volume to really qualify as a big time breakout from a technical standpoint, like maybe 2.8 to 3.2 billion, IMHO. But, it could happen. We'll see. Maybe RR will weigh in tonite as well.

Pinhi



To: Dealer who wrote (37119)5/21/2001 8:55:09 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
Thanks Dealer! Bookmarked it.

FWIW, using your chart, I calculated average volume for the last 20 days to be 1.92 billion shares...... today's volume is about 20% above that average.

IMO, that's very encouraging, but is it significant enough to say it is breakout volume?

FWIW, seems that most folks I follow & the indicators they/we use show more upside potential, but an increasing chance for a pullback near term too.

I'm getting concerned about the P/E's on some NAZ leaders..... particularly considering their forward guidance (some stating YOY earnings declines & one or more quarters of low/no visibility). How can they go up in share price while they are in an earnings decline without resulting in nosebleed P/E's??

Those companies currently with historically high P/E's which have guided for earnings declines YOY, plus low/no visibility are stuck between a rock & a hard place IMO.

I don't doubt some compaines will do just fine. I think some companies will have to lag behind unless we are to return to bubble high P/E's again.

The NAZ has been up for 5 straight days, first time in many months.

I wish I knew what tomorrow brings.

Ö¿Ö



To: Dealer who wrote (37119)5/21/2001 9:24:45 PM
From: Dealer  Respond to of 65232
 
A F T E R H O U R S .. Q U O T E S & EARNINGS REPORT DATES
Voltaire's Porch Basket of Stocks
These Stock Have Not Been Picked By Any One Individual
GORILLA--A company that controls it market because it has a discontinuous innovation ,one that is not compatible with existing systems. The market is in a hyper growth stage, and they control the architecture. There is a high switching cost to using some other company's product.

KING--The Market leader, properly with a two-times lead or better over its closest competitor. If the lead shrinks too far, the king becomes a prince, and we have a kingless market. Because they lack architectural control, and because switching costs are low, they cannot force competitors onto the defensive the way Microsoft, Intel, or Cisco can. Compaq is a king. Seagate is a king of hard drives.

A lot of study has been done on these stocks by the Gorilla and Kings thread. There are the stocks that are discussed most often on the porch........and 1 or more are in most porcher's portfolio.

The following Stocks are on the Gorilla and King Index

SYMBOL---EARNINGS DATE

CSCO---5/8
CLOSE 22.87
AFTERHOURS 22.81

GMST---3/7
CLOSE 42.95
AFTERHOURS 39.4

INTC---4/17
CLOSE 29.90
AFTERHOURS 29.75

JDSU---4/26
CLOSE 23.50
AFTERHOURS 23.5

NTAP---5/10
CLOSE 26.65
AFTERHOURS 26.75

QCOM---4/17
CLOSE 71.00
AFTERHOURS 70.31

SEBL---4/18
CLOSE 54.97
AFTERHOURS 54.87

The following Stocks are on the Gorilla and King Wait and
Watchlist

The Watch & Wait Index consists of stocks that have some desirable characteristics but are not necessarily Gorillas or Kings - at least not yet. Most of them will not be, but they bear watching for that possibility. They are as follows:

BRCM---4/17
CLOSE 46.98
AFTERHOURS 46.85

CREE---4/12
CLOSE 35.97
AFTERHOURS 35.6

ELON---4/18
CLOSE 22.75
AFTERHOURS 22.9

ITWO---4/18
CLOSE 27.10
AFTERHOURS 27.19

PMCS---4/19
CLOSE 43.48
AFTERHOURS 43.16

RMBS---4/12
CLOSE 11.49
AFTERHOURS 11.47

RNWK---4/17
CLOSE 14.88
AFTERHOUR 14.83

SNDK---4/25
CLOSE 28.86
AFTERHOURS 28.86

WIND---5/31
CLOSE 24.41
AFTERHOURS 24.4

"Voltaire's Cover Call Strategy 101" see Post # 9490

Post #'s of Recent Cover Call Strategy Discussions
From recent discussions--August 16,17 and 18, 2000 see post #31425 updated 8/31/00

27272 Original Posts "Voltaire Cover Call Strategy 101"