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Strategies & Market Trends : Steve's Channelling Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (16290)5/21/2001 9:40:17 PM
From: orkrious  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 30051
 
Don't expect me to hold the same opinion all the time when the market itself changes it's opinion day by day (g).

No disrespect intended. I know of no one with prognosticating abilities greater than yours, Zeev, and I appreciate your sharing them. In fact, you could make millions on Wall Street and the record of your posts is enshrined on SI for eternity should you choose to put together a portfolio of posts for a job interview. <VVBG>

I only pointed out that there was only a 25% probability of our making these highs so that people that follow you assiduously could see that your 25% chance of us going back down was quite possible. <G>

Jay



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (16290)5/21/2001 9:42:21 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 30051
 
got a bond related question for you, and anyone else

the only danger signal I see is the lack of a long bond rally in past two months
10yr and 30yr yields are no better than the February levels
that is highly unusual
tells me either inflation threat is imminent
or else liquidity problems in bond-land (not enough buyers)
with all this sidelined money, not much is finding its way into long bonds
that is irregular and atypical, if not unusual and suspicious
why not?
what is your take?

sure, money can exit bonds and seek stocks for better return
but in past fed easing cycles, money goes into both bonds and stocks
that has often fueled a powerful rally in bonds, which then favorably affects the pricing models for stocks
which fuels a rally in stocks

so, this may be the climb of a wall of worry alright
just curious for your take
thanks, Jim



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (16290)5/21/2001 9:55:02 PM
From: Rich1  Respond to of 30051
 
Zeev..If you were a baseball player and you hit .800 you would be the greatest hitter of all time and in the Hall of Fame..
Keep up the good work...



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (16290)5/21/2001 9:59:07 PM
From: Mark Johnson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30051
 
Below is the exact kind of egotistical total bull poopy I'm talking about and you lapdogs will grovel in it....LOL.....It is mostly caca and hard to verify....I'm spending a few hours looking over Zeev's supposed cash positions over the last few months and I'll give you all an update......

<<I am trying to stay on the right side as long as possible, so thus far this year, being long from Jan 2 to the 31st and completely out through February, and then back in late in March and out in the third week of April, and back in last week kept me more than 80% of the time on the "right" side of the market. I expected a stronger retrenchment after April 20th, that did not materialize, yet, the reentry last week, was still below (not much) the exit around April 20th>>>.

LOOKING FOR THE TRUTH....

MJ



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (16290)5/21/2001 10:20:57 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30051
 
As for the 25% thing, I think I recall the drop to near 1600 in April had about that same chance of happening.

Your 25% has much greater probablility than the statistical 25%, or so it seems this year.