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To: JRI who wrote (3087)5/22/2001 12:48:44 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
That's how I see it. I don't see any big down coming yet.

OT* I am curious to see if those Ameritraders are finally selling all that PALM they bought in the 4's on Friday, they will have done very well.



To: JRI who wrote (3087)5/22/2001 1:20:19 PM
From: Perspective  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Note that being in a 4 does NOT rule out my scenario. Unless I'm misinterpreting things, the failed "C" would have something resembling a wave 5 after this jello 4, but it might not make a new high - hence the "failure". Would also coincide with the cycle high. While I say again, I do NOT expect this, I think it would be the most sinister way for this to unfold, ie it would probably catch me long. <g> <ng>

Also note that, it would leave a glaring divergence, with all the indicies *except* Naz 100 able to clear the January lows. I'd even go so far as to expect that scenario, were it to unfold, to produce a marginal new high for everything *except* the Naz 100, which would likely be leading to the downside by that point in time.

Note that the smaller speculative trash is really outperforming today, with Naz lagging. (COMPX +0.8%, Naz +0.3%, SCON +12%, CDTS +14%, OPTV +27%, to name a few) This is what one would expect, if this scenario were to happen.

Like I said, the most sinister of possibilities, but a possibility nonetheless. <evil, evil grin>

BC