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To: cblranch who wrote (9742)5/23/2001 1:20:42 PM
From: Tom Hua  Respond to of 19633
 
May 23, 2001 11:23am

Cabot slips amid downgrade,
worries about quarter

By Tiffany Kary ZDII


Chip-equipment maker Cabot Microelectronics
tumbled 8 percent after a downgrade and
cautionary comments about its third quarter.

Shares of Cabot were down $6.05 to $70.26 amid signs
that inventory problems continue in the semiconductor
sector.

In April, the stock surged along with other
chip-equipment makers on hopes that the time had
come for a semiconductor turnaround. But since then,
signs that the inventory glut have yet to be worked off
have taken it down a few notches again.

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Just yesterday, Chartered Semiconductor
Manufacturing (Nasdaq: CHRT), which ranks as the
third largest chip maker, said low global demand for
chips will mean weak selling prices, poor factory
utilization and ultimately greater losses than expected
in the second quarter.

The news affects Cabot (Nasdaq: CCMP) because it
makes slurries, which semiconductor foundries like
Chartered use to make chips.

Merrill Lynch analyst John E. Roberts reduced his
intermediate-term rating on Cabot to "neutral," but
maintained his long-term "buy" rating Wednesday.

While the company's sales growth could return to 50
percent rates within a year or so, it could be lackluster
until then, Roberts said in a research note. The stock
has doubled in price since its low after a disappointing
March quarter, giving the company a rich valuation,
Roberts added.

"We believe sales have remained flat sequentially since
March, with Taiwan foundries being particularly weak,"
Roberts wrote.

The analyst reduced his third-quarter estimates to
earnings of 35 to 30 cents a share, bringing them much
lower than last year's third-quarter earnings of 38 cents
a share. First Call's current consensus estimate is for
earnings of 34 cents a share.

Salomon Smith Barney's Gil Yang also said in a
research note Tuesday that Cabot's third quarter could
be worse than expected.

Chartered's lowered revenue expectations for its June
quarter suggest that the inventory correction continues.
The news caused Yang to predict earnings of 32 cents
a share for Cabot in its third quarter, and revenue of
$52.6 million.

But on the bright side, Yang noted that "the bottom
could be near" for Cabot, since Chartered indicated that
its June quarter is expected to be the bottom, and the
chip cycle is nearing an upturn. Yang reiterated his
"buy" rating.