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To: quartersawyer who wrote (11869)	5/24/2001 11:14:29 AM
From: Eric L	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 34857

re: ARC Group on the American Migration To 3G Pretty conservative survey results - particularly GPRS >> New Survey Report On American Migration To 3G UK Cellular News 24th May 2001 A new survey reveal that in North America, respondents to ARC Group's North American Cellular Survey predict a marked shift among TDMA operators towards GSM technologies, but with sizeable support remaining for EDGE. 1xRTT and 1xEV (CDMA 2000 family) are also expected to play a major role in the growth of North American wireless data. The switch to GSM in North America is reflected in the finding that an average of 38% of current US TDMA operators are anticipated to migrate to 3G via GSM and GPRS, according to the North American operators surveyed. However, the survey reveals that North American operators on average expect GPRS services to launch in the second half of 2002. In Europe, almost all operators polled in the GSM Industry Survey predict GPRS services to launch this year. For TDMA, the evolution roadmap is more uncertain. The North American Cellular / PCS Survey reveals that an average of 29% of US TDMA operators are expected to take the TDMA and EDGE route to 3G, showing that support for the technology among North American operators is not lost. This is borne out by the finding, again from North American operators, that only 21% expect EDGE to have a limited role or no role at all over the coming five years. Interestingly, one the most popular roles for EDGE is for it to be partially rolled out by 3G licence holders in non-metropolitan areas. New CDMA technologies are expected to make a big impact in North America, with 72% of the North American operators polled in the North American Cellular / PCS Survey feeling that services will be launched on CDMA 2000 (1xRTT) before the end of next year. << - Eric -