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To: Joan Osland Graffius who wrote (104771)	5/25/2001 12:01:42 PM
From: pater tenebrarum	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

Joan, my main idea is here that the yield extremes of the late 70's were a typical K-wave 'summer' phenomenon...and i believe we're currently in what some call the 'false spring' - a relatively short term, cyclical inflation period that briefly interrupts the secular deflationary trend. it won't end though until economists, and especially the Fed, begin to WORRY about inflation...imo within 6 to 12 months we may witness a new consensus forming regarding inflation - away from the current 'it's not a problem' to 'it's a big problem'. and that should be the end of it.