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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Terry Whitman who wrote (3926)5/25/2001 11:05:44 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Hi Terry, yes the CRB did have a big down day, Crude has been weak the past few days and we saw selling
in the entire energy complex. The elliot wave pattern on the daily chart has looked impulsive this year as we
have headed lower during the first part of the year and it has looked corrective on the 7 week rally during
April and May.

So much of the action is predicated on this very strong US Dollar, which so many commodities are priced in.

You have to go back to 1986 to see the USD Index trading at this high a level, of course the US dollar was
coming down from It's massive bull market Peak of 1985 when it topped at 3.47 Dem and something like
200 Yen.

The currency, bond and commodity markets are giving different projections of what the future of inflation, economic
growth and what the FED's course of action will be. the 10 year note looks ready to head lower in price over the
next 2 weeks,

The next month will be interesting.

Everyone have a great Holiday Weekend.

John