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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Saturn V who wrote (136087)5/25/2001 7:42:00 PM
From: Road Walker  Respond to of 186894
 
Saturn,

re: AMD as "brutal and incessant competition"

I agree. I was being sarcastic.

Listen, I'm willing to give Intel the benefit of the doubt in communications, Intel is still my largest holding, and thats why I'm concerned. It looks like they are doing some things VERY well in the communications division. But it's all in the potential, almost like investing in a start up. In the end, you have to judge a company on it's ability to generate profit dollars, and that has been what Intel has always been good at. A lot of folks like to criticize Amazon, in comparison to Intel's "other businesses" Amazon is a cash cow. The only thing Intel has demonstrated from other businesses is huge losses and a subsequent declining stock price.

I really like this company. It has created a lot of my personal wealth effect.

But I think it's important for all Intel investors to pay attention to the "other businesses". That will be where most of the shareholder value will be created or lost, at least in the near future.

Off my soapbox, lots of golf this weekend,

John



To: Saturn V who wrote (136087)5/25/2001 8:25:59 PM
From: tcmay  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 186894
 
Giving AMD credit where credit is due: the 29K

Saturn V at May 25, 2001 5:35 PM
"AMD does not know how to handle technical uncertainty and the risk of new and unknown markets. It has never pioneered new markets ! It waits for a promising new market to develop and then tries to deliver a cheaper or a marginally better product . "

I would count the 29000, aka the 29K, as a major attempt to pioneer a major new architecture. The 29K was a very well-regarded chip, often used in high-performance laser printers. (Not being an architect, it looks to me to have been the same "high performance microcontroller" niche/space as the Intel 960 was in.)

As with other well-regarded architecures, e.g., the VAX-like 32032 from National, it didn't catch on well enough for AMD to make enough money to continue it.

But they tried, and I have to give them credit for that. (I remember the "awe" that the 29K engendered when people talked about their high-end laser printer having a 29K in it. I wish I knew more about who did the 29K, why it was killed within AMD in favor of the x86, etc. Too bad folks from that mid-80s era are not commenting.)

As the 29K was dying, AMD placed more emphasis on being a viable second-source to Intel. I think they did a sleazy thing or two with the "deal" to do a graphics chip in exchange for Intel's cooperation (which Intel offered because a second source was important then, and as it still may be), but this was litigated in the late 80s, early 90s and settled. Time to move on on that issue. (And, ironically, it was Barrett who was sent in as the negotiatior to settle with AMD...an interesting precursor to the similar settlement of the FTC case a few years ago.)

What surprises me, by the way, is not that AMD is fairly successful with their Athlon, etc., but that there IS NOT MORE COMPETITION!

Compared to some times in the past, as when Intel faced serious competition from MIPS, SPARC, PowerPC, etc., it is stunning to me that the competition from AMD is really just about all there is today. (Yeah, I know about PowerPC. I use several PPCs in my various Macs. But I know that Nick Tredennick was right when he wrote in "Microprocessor Report" that Intel ships more x86 processors before lunch on the average day than Motorola ships PowerPCs in a month. Well, almost so.)

"AMD forte is good execution in a well defined marketplace. Once the communication market is better defined AMD could again become a factor."

Agreed. And I believe even AMD's success in recent years has a lot to do with the infusion of "Intel genes" into their way of doing things. The NexGen people, Vin Dham, etc.

Now that most of those folks have left, or been purged, this may explain why AMD is having some troubles following through on the obvious--and deserved--Athlon success.

--Tim May