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Strategies & Market Trends : Quarter to Quarter Aggressive Growth Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jack Hartmann who wrote (2938)9/29/2001 4:10:38 PM
From: Jack Hartmann  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6928
 
Portfolio performance for Jun-Sep down 17.1%.
Gilder2001 down 54.1% YTD.
J-blimps down 61.9% since May 25, 2000.
Fuel cells/Alt energy down 61.1% since started in August 2000.
Gorilla Hunters down 75.2% since December 3, 2000.
OC-192 down 79.8% since started in Mid-February.

Long timers
MDT - $42.50 to 43.50. Up 2.3%
ORCL - $16.51to 12.58 Down 23.7%

2000 Additions
SCHL $41.61 to 43.50. Up 4.5 %
AMAT $53.71to 28.44. Down 47.0%

February Additions
GLW $21.55 to 8.82. Down 59.0%
UCL $38.16 to 32.50. Down 14.8%

March Additions
CAT $54.00 to 44.80 Down 17.0%
DRMD $11.10 to 20.24 Up 82.4% Amazing
X $19.76 to 13.98 . Down 29.3%
DCI $29.69 to 28.82. Down 2.9%
BGP $18.75 to 19.15 . Up 2.1%
VLGC $4.09 to 2.61 Down 36.1% .
WFII $6.05 to 4.47%. Down 26.1%

Sept addition
EMC $13.49 to 11.75. Down 19.7%
NKE at 47.67 to 46.81. Down 1.80%
WY at 53.40 to 48.71 Down 8.8%
DAL 22.16 to 26.33. Up 18.8%

Deletions
JDSU $14.05 to 6.36. Down 54.7%
BRCD $46.47 to 20.51. Down 55.8%
NTAP $25.72 to 10.83 Down 57.8%
NTRO $5.40 to $2.76. Down 48.9%
PHA $48.56 to 40.36. . Down 16.9%
RELL $13.96 to 9.07. Down 35.0%
TSCM $1.97 to 1.64. Down 16.7%

A look if 10K was invested in each stock. 250K Model starts anew each month.
27 Stocks rotated in January. (270K x 1.080)-270K = $21,600 profit or 8% profit
35 Stocks rotated in February. (350K x 0.79)-350K = $73,521 loss or 21% loss, Down 13% for the year.
30 Stocks rotated in March. (300K x 0.87)-300K = $39,000 loss or 13% loss, Down 26% for the year.
18 Stocks rotated in April. (180K x 1.216) – 180K = $38,800 profit or 21.6 % profit. Down 5% for the year.
19 Stocks rotated in May (190k 1.0824) – 190K = $15,656 profit or 8.2%. Up 3.2% for the year.
24 Stocks rotated Jun-Sep (240K x 0.829) – 240K = $41,010 loss or 17.1% (-$77,475 total this year or down 31% this year.

Dow – 11005 to 8847. Down 19.6% for period
NASDAQ – 2251 to 1498. Down 33.4% for period
S&P500 – 1277 to 1040. Down 18.5% for month
Dow – 10787 to 8847. Down 17.9% for the year
NASDAQ – 2470 to 1498. Down 39.3% for the year
S&P500 – 1320 to 1040. Down 21.2% for the year

For June, the indexes should see lower volume and consolidation staying with in 3% of the May numbers.

I think it was a miss.

For October, we should see more gloom and doom. Indexes should be within 5%.

I have to wince when I see the worst return since 1987 facing me. Three months to go and down 10% behinds the S&P and Dow.

Jack