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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Chris who wrote (8079)5/27/2001 11:19:45 AM
From: Stephen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
I didn't see this - sorry if its a repeat ...

Citigroup's Rubin Skeptical Of US Econ Recovery
In Q4
Updated: Tuesday, May 22, 2001 09:57 PM ET
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NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--The prevailing view among many economic forecasters that U.S.
economic growth will start to rebound in the fourth quarter should be viewed with some
skepticism, said Robert Rubin, director and chairman of the executive committee of Citigroup
and former U.S. treasury secretary.

Speaking here Tuesday evening to the American-India Foundation, Rubin cited an expectation
among many economists that "in the fourth quarter the U.S. will be back on a healthy track,
but there's a reasonable chance these difficulties will be longer than we would wish." Rubin
cited recurrent account deficit, the low personal savings rate and high levels of consumer and
corporate debt as some of the factors creating imbalances in the U.S. economy.

Rubin also talked about planned tax cuts and said that these
"create serious risk ... greater than a 50-50 probability of
budget deficit" in the coming years. He didn't give a specific
timeframe for the threat of deficits but noted that projections
made over a 10-year period can be notoriously unreliable.

However, "the long run potential of the U.S. economy is very
strong" even if, in the near term, there are "certainly real
risks," Rubin said.

Among the other "excesses" that continue to trouble the
economy are the stock market, which "has been at levels
that were absurdly high," and a previous buildup of business
investments.

In his remarks, entitled "Perspectives On The Global Economy," Rubin emphasized how the
current uncertainty over the U.S. economic outlook in turn creates uncertainty in the world
economy.

Aside from the effect on emerging markets, he chose to emphasize in particular the situations
in Japan. That country is facing "probably the most difficult scenario it has faced in the last 10
years." He estimated that "it will be many years before (Japan) get back to robust,
demand-led growth."

-Jon Parry; Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-2096
quicken.excite.com

Have a great weekend everyone

Stephen