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To: tyc:> who wrote (105089)5/27/2001 8:21:22 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
hmmm, yes an option value question at least partly... does the asset keep producing an ounce each year, or just that one year?

DAK



To: tyc:> who wrote (105089)5/29/2001 3:57:15 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
basically, the calculation is not different from other present value of future income streams calculations...it depends largely on interest rates.
in the case of gold one has to also consider the gold lease rate and the resulting contango.
however, a) a few important variables are missing (for instance the characteristics of the reserve in question) and b) this type of mechanical discounting is not really going to tell you if the asset is worth buying. the price of gold doesn't stay still after all...
and i agree there's an option value aspect here. that's inherent in all claims on gold in the ground.