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To: LLCF who wrote (105131)5/28/2001 1:47:55 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
DAK, I am not sure I want to go to these times. Europe's adoption of the Arab equivalent of a "check" signaled the end of the dark ages. Mind you, the paper check was the first attempt at increasing money supply and thus allow for growth not to be tied up just to the ability of civilization finding and extracting a singular metal. It took another three four hundred years before governments got into that business, and my guess is that the CB's have kissed good bye the "discipline" of gold some fifty plus years ago. They just never told us that this decision was irreversible, or even that that decision was indeed taken. Sovereignty by military might (you lost independence and you lost your stores of gold with it), while military might is still important, the world is changing (hopefully, but ever so slowly <g>), and it becomes less so. Now a currency is backed by the ability of each nation to tax its citizen (in other words, maybe a more palatable one, the economic "muscles" of each nation) and the amount of that money slushing around (printing presses). When the "printers" and the Taxers" no longer have the same national priorities, financial dislocations occur.

The Euro is not required to "discipline" the various European nations, the markets do. Yet, each nation may want to keep the flexibility to respond to "temporary" imbalances by coordinating their fiscal and monetary policies. That will be quite difficult when an abstract, supposedly apolitical (but controlled by the most powerful nations in the EU) body controls the printing press while each nation controls it own fiscal affairs. When everything is nice and cozy, it works, but put some strain on the system (as we might very well have in the next few years) and the system will implode, IMHO.

Zeev