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To: Perspective who wrote (3741)5/30/2001 9:30:43 AM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Yes, for now I am seeing this as the 5 of 3. It may not be all in the gap though and I will presume nothing.

In general, if we can catch turns, like the call into this 3, then money/risk management should take over until we can clearly see another turn. Everything in between is trying to catch bottoms/tops and is a waste of time in terms of analysis imho. I/we often think ourselves out of good positions by trying to be smarter than the market. The big money is made by sitting on your hands.



To: Perspective who wrote (3741)5/30/2001 10:28:42 AM
From: JRI  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Bobcor- You've mentioned a couple times that you are charting this (possibly) as following the 1931 Dow, and that, if so, we are looking at lower lows coming...

(If I understood you correctly) If so, then wouldn' that NECESSITATE that we are in some sort of zig-zag here (as you have mentioned in a previous post)....if not, what other potential pattern could get us there in this move?

(For, under the current preferred scenario, I don't see how we get there...and this move likely ends somewhere in the 2000-2100 area, if I am interpreting correctly...and then good up, before the BIG KAHUNA)..

If the zig-zag gets us there, and is in play, could you explain a bit how that can work?

(2 things are sticking in my craw: One, Heinz's turn date of June 4th, and (2)...the fact that June is going to be an absolute void of good news, and will be mostly (only) bad news......so I have always struggled with the preferred scenario, in that, I don't see the catalyst(s) to drive this thing back to new marginal highs...the "news" scenario in June I think would support a bigger down move then what we are current seeking under the preferred- hence my question)

Sorry for being so wordy.....wow, markets collapsing again...ugly...