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To: yard_man who wrote (105528)	5/30/2001 12:19:34 PM
From: benwood	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 436258

I think a lot hinges on the Pacific Northwest. If we get a normal, or heavier than normal, rainfall winter next season, the price gougers will be out of luck for the 2001-2002 winter. (I think the smart money is on a heavier than normal rainfall.) Also, I do think that barring a mild summer (unlikely thanks to the US leading the way in global warming), around mid July prices of NG will again be on the rise because we've had an early snowmelt in the PNW (i.e. more hydro power on the market right now), and thanks to the much lower than average snow pack, the "reserves" will be gone 4-6 weeks earlier than usual. Fleck brought this up this up in a recent column and postulated that the latter part of July and August will be the rolling blackout time.