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To: Alex who wrote (70810)5/30/2001 4:31:02 PM
From: Ken Benes  Respond to of 116764
 
Not a bad hypothesis. However, with the exception of barrick and one or two others, the most gold company managers are not that sophisticated.

Ken



To: Alex who wrote (70810)5/30/2001 4:46:54 PM
From: Ken Benes  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116764
 
Alex:

In the final analysis, the demand did not exist to support this failed rally. This calls into question the entire premise of the promising supply/demand fundamentals of gold for the following reasons:
1. If demand was indeed outstripping supply, buyers would have appeared as the price declined off its high.
2. If a shortage of gold existed for leasing, the hedgers would not have been able to sell forward as quickly as they did.
3. The producers did not lend any support to the rising pog.
4. The rally was false from the start, probably a collaberation of the bankers, speculators, and the producers, which allowed a few producers to lock in some higher gold prices and pulled the rug out of any move to offer gold as a viable alternate investment.

Ken